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United Arab Emirates Infrastructure Report Q3 2016

  • July 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 65 pages

BMI View:

We are maintaining our forecast for solid construction industry growth over our forecast period as investors seeks to capitalise on the infrastructure opportunities in the run up to Expo 2020 hosted by Dubai - particularly in the non-residential and transport sectors. Also supporting interest in Dubai's market is its more diverse economy, which has kept it fairly insulated against the commodities price drop that dampened growth in the more oil-dependent Abu Dhabi.


Forecast & Latest Updates
- We are forecasting 6.6% real growth over 2016 and an annual average of 6.1% over the first half of our forecast period up to 2020. Dubai's preparation to host Expo 2020 is providing major growth opportunities across commercial building and transport infrastructure in particular.
- Over our full 10-year forecast we forecast industry expansion of 4.7% in real terms. Nominal industry value is expected to rise from an estimated USD40.3bn in 2015 to USD85bn in 2025, keeping the UAE as one of the larger construction markets in the Middle East.
- The government is eager to use the public-private partnership (PPP) model more regularly in order to continue to attract private investment and ease the burden on its own budget. In November 2015 the Dubai PPP Law was enacted.

Table Of Contents

United Arab Emirates Infrastructure Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View ... 7
Table: 5-Year Forecast Scenario (United Arab Emirates 2016-2020) 7
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index (UAE 2016) 8
SWOT 9
Infrastructure SWOT .. 9
Industry Forecast .. 11
UAE - Infrastructure and Construction - Q3 2016 11
Latest Developments ... 11
Table: 10-Year Forecast Scenario (United Arab Emirates 2016-2025) 11
Structural Trends ... 11
Transport Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview .. 14
Latest Developments ... 14
Structural Trends ... 14
Table: Transport - Major Projects By Value (USDmn) 21
Energy And Utilities Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview 24
Latest Developments ... 24
Structural Trends ... 24
Table: Energy and Utilities - Major Projects By Value (USDmn) . 29
Residential/Non-Residential Building - Outlook And Overview . 30
Latest Developments ... 30
Structural Trends ... 30
Table: Residential and Non-Residential Construction - Major Projects By Value (USDmn) 34
Industry Risk/Reward Index . 36
UAE - Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index .. 36
Rewards .. 36
Risks .. 37
MENA Infrastructure RRI: Oil Prices And Security Remain Key Risks ... 37
Table: MENA RRI . 43
Market Overview ... 44
Competitive Landscape . 44
Table: UAE Construction Players - Key Financial Data (USDmn) 49
Company Profile 50
Arabtec Construction ... 50
Dutco Balfour Beatty Group .. 52
Habtoor Leighton Group ... 54
Drake and Scull International .. 56
Methodology .. 58
Industry Forecast Methodology 58
Sector-Specific Methodology 59
Risk/Reward Index Methodology ... 63
Sector-Specific Methodology 64
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators . 64
Table: Weighting Of Indicators . 65

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