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Botswana Mining Report Q3 2016

  • May 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 54 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Botswana's mining industry has considerable potential, with sizeable mineral depositscomplemented by a stable political climate and supportive regulatory environment. The mining industry islargely dominated by domestic players, or, in the case of Debswana, local partners of foreign agents.However overseas interest is growing, particularly in the coal mining sector, the scale of which is juststarting to be realised. Price weakness will constrain the expansion of the mining sector in the short term,with diamond production set to contract in 2016, but we see significant room for growth beyond 2020.

Latest Updates & Forecasts

- In April 2016, Botswana Diamonds and Alrosa began drilling at the companies' PL260 and PL210licences in the Orapa project. The companies secured exploration rights to the project in 2015 as part of ajoint venture (JV).

- In the same month junior Canadian miner Tango Mining announced the extension of the deadline topurchase the diamond mining operations of UK-owned Firestone Diamonds. Tango is reportedlylooking to secure a USD30mn loan to finance the acquisition with a view to recommencing operations atFirestone's BK11 mine.

- In March, CEO of state-run Botswana Oil Company revealed the organisation was exploringopportunities for coal benefaction, which would allow the country to covert its coal resources into liquidenergy and by-products.

- We expect Botswana's diamond production to contract in the short term as leading miners such asDebswana scale back capacity on account of current price weakness. Output will fall by 6.1% in 2016 to21.8mn carats (mnct) before recovering to reach 23.1mnct in 2020.

- However, coal output will expand at a rapid pace, with production set to grow by 15.2% a year onaverage over 2016-2020 to reach 4.4mn tonnes (mnt).

Table Of Contents

Botswana Mining Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Botswana Mining Industry Value Forecast (2015-2020) 7
Industry Forecast 10
Diamonds: Foreign Interest Growing Despite Price Constraints 10
Latest Updates 10
Table: Mining Industry Forecasts (Botswana 2012-2020) 10
Structural Trends 11
Table: Botswana - Main Diamond Projects 14
Coal: Government Recognising Industry's Potential 15
Latest Developments 15
Table: Coal Production Forecast (Botswana 2012-2020) 15
Structural Trends 16
Table: Botswana - Coal Deposits 17
Table: Coal Production Forecast (Botswana 2012-2020) 19
Industry Risk/Reward Index 20
Botswana Risk/Reward Index 20
Rewards 20
Industry Rewards 20
Country Rewards 20
Risks 20
Industry Risks 20
Country Risks 21
Africa - Risk/Reward Index 21
Key Takeaways 21
Latest Revisions 22
Table: Africa - Mining Risk/Reward Index 23
Regulatory Development 24
Commodities Forecast 25
Commodities Outlook 25
Table: BMI Commodities Price Forecasts 25
Competitive Landscape 26
International and Domestic Key Players 26
Table: Africa - Largest Mining companies 27
Company Profile 30
Global Company Strategy - Anglo American - Q2 2016 30
Company Strategy 33
Latest Results 35
Table: Anglo American - Financial Data 37
Global Company Strategy - Norilsk Nickel 38
Company Overview 39
Company Strategy 40
Table: Norilsk Nickel - Supply Chain Analysis 42
Table: Norilsk Nickel - Key Financial Data 43
Regional Overview 44
Table: SSA - Government Involvement In Mining Sector 49
Methodology 51
Industry Forecast Methodology 51
Sources 52
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 53
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 54

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