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Germany Telecommunications Report Q3 2015

  • May 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 125 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

Key Data
- Mobile subscriptions have decreased due to the consolidation to112.6mn in 2014, but the market will recover to 115.9mn by the end of 2019. The market is buoyed by robust mobile virtual network operator (MVNO) expansion and customer migration to 4G (LTE).
- Improved mobile subscriber mix and the loss of non revenue-generating inactive subscriptions at Vodafone (and likely also at O2 after the E-Plus acquisition) should lead to a small improvement in the rate of average revenue per user (ARPU) erosion. However, the trend remains downward overall. BMI forecasts industry average ARPUs to fall from EUR13 in 2014 to EUR12 in 2019.

Key Developments
The German government plans to auction two blocks of 30MHz frequencies in the 700MHz band. Mobile broadband services using this spectrum will be phased in from 2017. The auction will take place in H115, at the same time as a separate auction for 900MHz and 1800MHz frequencies, rights to which expire at the end of 2016. Lots, consisting of two paired blocks of 5MHz in the 700MHz band, will be offered at a starting price of EUR75mn per lot.

Table Of Contents

Germany Telecommunications Report Q3 2015
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 8
Mobile SWOT . 8
Wireline SWOT 10
Political . 12
Economic .. 13
Operational Risk . 14
Industry Forecast .. 15
Mobile 15
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecasts (Germany 2012-2019) 15
ARPUs . 17
Fixed-Line . 20
Table: Telecoms Sector - Wireline - Historical Data and Forecasts (Germany 2013-2019) 20
Industry Risk/Reward Index 23
Industry Risk Reward Index .. 23
Table: Western Europe Telecoms Risk/Rewards Index, Q315 26
Market Overview 27
Mobile 27
Regional Perspective 27
Table: Mobile Market Regional Comparisons, 2013 . 28
Key Developments . 28
Market Growth .. 28
Market Share And Net Additions 30
Table: Net Additions By Operator ('000) . 32
Subscription Mix 33
Usage .. 34
MVNOs 36
Networks . 40
O2/E-Plus Merger And Support For New Players .. 43
Table: Percentage Of Revenues From Non-Voice Services (%) 45
Table: Mobile Market Overview 51
Table: T-Mobile . 52
Table: Vodafone 54
Table: E-Plus . 56
Table: O2 . 58
Mobile Content 61
Monetising Footfall .. 62
Interoperable M-Commerce A Stronger Proposition . 63
Positioning Key To M2M Success .. 65
Regaining Control Of The Bill 68
Fixed Line . 70
Recent Developments 70
Fixed-Line Telephony .. 71
Operator Performance . 72
Table: Fixed-Line Subscriptions By Operator ('000) . 73
Table: Voice Telephony Accesses And Other Licensed Operators' Shares, 2011-2013 75
Fixed Broadband .. 76
Pay-TV/Convergence 80
Table: TV Households By Platform (mn) . 81
Table: HD TV Households (mn) 81
Converged Service Operator Data . 83
Table: Deutsche Telekom . 83
Table: Kabel Deutschland 85
Table: UPC Unitymedia 86
Table: Telefonica Deutschland . 87
Table: Sky Deutschland . 88
Table: Tele2 Deutschland . 89
Table: 1and1/United Internet . 89
Industry Trends And Developments .. 90
Table: Trends And Developments . 90
Regulatory Development .. 93
Regulatory Overview .. 93
Table: Germany Regulatory Bodies And Their Responsibilities . 93
Regulatory Developments 95
Competitive Landscape . 97
Table: Key Players - Germany Telecoms Sector . 97
Table: Selected Operators' Financial Indicators, 2008-2013 (USDmn) . 98
Company Profile . 99
Deutsche Telekom 99
Vodafone Germany .. 103
Telefónica Deutschland .. 106
Regional Overview . 110
Demographic Forecast 114
Demographic Outlook . 114
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Germany 1990-2025) . 115
Table: Key Population Ratios (Germany 1990-2025) . 115
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Germany 1990-2025) 116
Table: Population By Age Group (Germany 1990-2025) . 116
Table: Population By Age Group % (Germany 1990-2025) 117
Glossary 119
Table: Glossary Of Terms . 119
Methodology .. 121
Industry Forecast Methodology .. 121
Sources . 123
Risk/Reward Index Methodology . 123
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators 124
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 125

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