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Poland Telecommunications Report Q3 2016

  • June 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 69 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: The Polish telecoms market is rapidly evolving and is one of the fastest-changing markets in theCentral and Eastern European region. The deployment of next-generation infrastructure is driving usage ofpremium non-voice services as well as complex, multi-screen converged services. We believe that themarket will post only modest gains in terms of new subscriber growth. However, our outlook on the uptakeof 3G/4G services is optimistic, despite the 2015/16 auction of 4G 800MHz and 2600MHz spectrumending thus-far unsatisfactorily as the costs turned out to be much higher than operators had anticipated.

Latest Updates And Industry Developments

- The mobile market contracted sharply in Q415 as T-Mobile shed more than 3mn inactivesubscriptions. By contrast, Orange and P4 (Play) performed well, signalling good underlying growthprospects despite saturation. We forecast 53.423mn mobile subscriptions by 2020.

- Mobile expansion is being driven by 3G/4G migration. We forecast 48.364mn subscriptions by 2020,or 90.5% of the overall market, but the rate of growth will depend on the final outcome of the spectrum auction of 2015/16 as outlays on spectrum will weigh on operators' capacity to invest innetworks.

- T-Mobile claims to have installed more than 200 new LTE base stations across the country and nowclaims to offer 4G LTE services to over 90% of the population. We believe that competitors will continueto invest heavily into advanced data services as a means of propelling the market forward and generatingrevenue streams.

Table Of Contents

Poland Telecommunications Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Industry Forecast 10
Latest Updates 10
Structural Trends 10
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecasts (Poland 2013-2020) 13
Industry Risk Reward Index 14
Central And Eastern Europe Industry Risk/Reward Index 14
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Telecoms Risk/Reward Index, Q3 2016 15
Industry Risk Reward Index 17
Market Overview 18
Market Drivers And Trends 18
Mobile 18
Wireline Voice And Broadband 21
Pay-TV/Convergence 23
Table: Pay-TV Subscriptions By Key Operator (000) 24
Regulatory Development 25
Regulatory Overview 25
Table: Regulatory Bodies And Their Responsibilities 25
Regulatory Developments 26
Competitive Landscape 29
Table: Poland - Key Telecoms Players 29
Mobile Operator Data 30
Table: Poland Mobile Market Overview 30
Table: T-Mobile Poland (PTC) 30
Table: Orange 32
Table: P4/Play 34
Table: Polkomtel/Cyfrowy Polsat 35
Wireline Operator Data 35
Table: Orange (TP SA) 35
Table: UPC Poland 37
Table: Netia 38
Table: Vectra 39
Table: Cyfrowy Polsat Wireline 40
Table: Multimedia Polska 41
Company Profile 43
Netia 43
Cyfrowy Polsat Group 47
Orange Polska (TPSA) 51
T-Mobile (Polska Telefonia Cyfrowa) 55
Demographic Forecast 58
Demographic Outlook 58
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Poland 1990-2025) 59
Table: Key Population Ratios (Poland 1990-2025) 59
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Poland 1990-2025) 60
Table: Population By Age Group (Poland 1990-2025) 60
Table: Population By Age Group % (Poland 1990-2025) 61
Glossary 63
Table: Glossary Of Terms 63
Methodology 65
Industry Forecast Methodology 65
Sources 67
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 67
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators 68
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 69

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