Romania Metals Report Q3 2014

  • May 2014
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 50 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates
Romania's metals sector will continue to see modest growth over the coming years as it slowly recovers
from the global downturn. This is primarily the case for steel, the largest sub-component of Romania's
metals sector. With modest growth in both autos production and the country's construction sector, we expect
modest growth in steel output over the next five years. In addition, with our expectation for steel prices to
head broadly lower over the coming years, we see few sources of encouragement for the sector. Therefore,
whilst we forecast modest growth in output, it will remain far off 2007 highs.

Romanian crude steel output demonstrated modest growth in 2013 of 1.0%, however, production is still
more than a third less than pre-2008 levels. BMI forecasts an acceleration in growth in 2014 at 2.0% y-oy,
however, to reach 3.39mnt of crude steel. We expect growth to accelerate further by 2.4% in 2015, to
reach 3.47mnt.

Table Of Contents

Romania Metals Report Q3 2014
BMI Industry View ...... 7
SWOT .... 10
Metals SWOT ............ 10
Industry Forecast ..... 12
Steel: Little Growth Ahead ............... 12
Table: Romania - Steel Production and Consumption ('000 tonnes, unless stated) . . . . . . . . . . 14
Table: Romania - Steel Production and Trade ('000 tonnes, unless stated) . . 15
Regulatory Development .............. 16
Commodities Forecast ................. 18
Steel Price Forecast ... 18
Table: BMI Steel Forecast . . . . . . 18
Short-Term Outlook .. 18
Core View ............... 19
Global Steel Glut To Persist ............ 19
Production: Rationalisation In The Long Term ........ 20
Consumption: Growth Decelerating .. 22
Excessive Chinese Exports .............. 23
Growing Arbitrage Between East and West ............... 24
Risks To Price Outlook ................... 24
Table: Steel Data and Forecasts . . 25
Table: Global Steel Prices By Region and Product, US$/tonne (ave) . . . . . . . . . 25
Commodity Strategy ... 26
Iron Ore: Fading Iron Will ............. 27
Steel: Global Glut To Weigh On Prices .................. 29
Aluminium: Fundamentals To Remain Weak ........... 30
Copper: All Eyes On China ............. 31
Lead: Outperforming Its Troubled Peers ................ 32
Nickel: Monthly Outperformer ......... 34
Tin: Outperforming A Weak Field .... 35
Zinc: Further Consolidation Likely ... 36
Table: Select Commodities - Performance and BMI Forecasts 38
Competitive Landscape ................ 39
Table: Europe - Major Listed Metal Producers . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40
Company Profile ....... 42
ArcelorMittal ............ 42
Company Overview .. 44
Company Strategy .... 44
Latest Financial Results ................. 46
Company Details ..... 46
Financial Data ........ 46
Table: ArcelorMittal - Key Financial Data . . . . 46
Mechel .................... 47
Table: Mechel - Financial Data 49
Methodology ............. 50
Cross Checks .......... 50

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