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Romania Agribusiness Report Q3 2016

  • June 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 61 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: We still believe the Romanian grains sector has high growth potential owing to itscompetitiveness and its exposure to the Middle East and Asia. We believe that the country's poultry subsectorwill outperform the rest of the livestock sector, owing to strong demand from Romania's population.Milk production will see limited growth after the EU quota removal in March 2015, while the sugar sectorwill moderately benefit from the removal of quotas in 2017.

Latest Updates & Structural TrendsSince our last quarterly, we have revised up our forecasts for Romania wheat production for 2015/16 and2016/17 to fall in line with our projections that despite a lower crop, wheat exports will rise in the 2016/17season. This is due to the abundant wheat supplies and expected reduction of wheat export capacity ofUkraine as the country's main agribusiness competitor. More broadly out to 2019/20, we expect strong export opportunities, particularly to the Middle East and North Africa, to drive solid output growth in cornas well as in wheat.

Table Of Contents

Romania Agribusiness Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Agribusiness 9
Industry Forecast 11
Grains Outlook 11
Table: Romania - Grains Production and Consumption Outlook 11
Table: Risks To Outlook 12
Table: Wheat Production and Consumption (Romania 2012-2020) 15
Livestock Outlook 16
Table: Romania - Livestock Production and Consumption Outlook 16
Table: Risks To Outlook 16
Table: Livestock Production and Consumption Forecasts (Romania 2012-2020) 18
Dairy Outlook 20
Table: Romania - Dairy Production and Consumption Outlook 20
Table: Risks To Outlook 21
Table: Milk Production and Consumption (Romania 2012-2020) 23
Sugar Outlook 24
Table: Romania - Sugar Production and Consumption Outlook 24
Table: Risks To Outlook 24
Table: Sugar Production and Consumption Forecasts (Romania 2012-2020) 27
Commodity Price Analysis 28
Global - Global Commodities Strategy 28
Table: Select Commodities - Performance And BMI Forecasts 28
Upstream Analysis 30
Europe GM Outlook 30
Europe Machinery Outlook 36
Table: Select Companies - Sales Forecasts By Region (company-based estimates) 41
Europe Fertiliser Outlook 43
Downstream Analysis 50
Food 50
Latest Updates 50
Structural Trends 51
Table: Food Sales (Romania 2013-2020) 53
Competitive Landscape 54
Table: Main Agribusiness Players 54
Demographic Forecast 55
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Romania 1990-2025) 56
Table: Key Population Ratios (Romania 1990-2025) 56
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Romania 1990-2025) 57
Table: Population By Age Group (Romania 1990-2025) 57
Table: Population By Age Group % (Romania 1990-2025) 58
Methodology 60
Industry Forecast Methodology 60
Sector-Specific Methodology 61

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