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Romania Agribusiness Report Q3 2015

  • June 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 119 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View:
We still believe the Romanian grain sector has the highest growth potential owing to its competitiveness and its exposure to the Middle East and Asia. We believe that the country's poultry sector will outperform the rest of the livestock sector, owing to strong demand from Romania's population. The country's dairy and sugar industries are likely to moderately benefit from the abolition of the EU's production quotas in milk (from spring 2015) and sugar (from September 2017).

Key Forecasts
- Wheat production growth 2013/14 to 2018/19: 13.3% to 8.5mn tonnes. This will come from further improvements in yields and increase in area planted. Export demand will also encourage production.

Table Of Contents

Romania Agribusiness Report Q3 2015
BMI Industry View ... 7
SWOT 9
Agribusiness . 9
Operational Risk . 12
Industry Forecast .. 14
Grains Outlook ... 14
Table: Wheat Production and Consumption (Romania 2014-2019) . 15
Table: Corn Production and Consumption (Romania 2014-2019) 15
Table: Barley Production and Consumption (Romania 2014-2019) . 15
Table: Wheat Production and Consumption (Romania 2009-2014) . 18
Table: Corn Production and Consumption (Romania 2009-2014) 18
Table: Barley Production and Consumption (Romania 2009-2014) . 19
Livestock Outlook 19
Table: Poultry Production and Consumption ( Europe 2014-2019) . 20
Table: Beef Production and Consumption ( Europe 2014-2019) . 21
Table: Pork Production and Consumption ( Europe 2014-2019) . 21
Table: Poultry Production and Consumption ( Europe 2009-2014) . 24
Table: Beef Production and Consumption ( Europe 2009-2014) . 25
Table: Pork Production and Consumption ( Europe 2009-2014) . 25
Dairy Outlook . 26
Table: Milk Production and Consumption (Romania 2014-2019) 27
Table: Butter Production and Consumption (Romania 2014-2019) . 27
Table: Cheese Production and Consumption (Romania 2014-2019) 28
Table: Milk Production and Consumption (Romania 2009-2014) 30
Table: Butter Production and Consumption (Romania 2009-2014) . 30
Table: Cheese Production and Consumption (Romania 2009-2014) 31
Sugar Outlook . 32
Table: Sugar Production and Consumption (Romania 2014-2019) . . 32
Table: Sugar Production and Consumption (Romania 2009-2014) . . 34
Featured Analysis .. 35
European Agriculture: The Future Of The CAP . 35
Table: EU - Agricultural Self-Sufficiency Ratios . 43
Table: Select Commodities - European Production and Consumption ('000 tonnes) . . 47
Commodities Price Outlook . 48
Monthly Softs Strategy .. 48
Table: Select Commodities - Performance and BMI Forecasts 57
Monthly Grains Strategy ... 58
Table: Select Commodities - Performance and BMI Forecasts 65
Upstream Analysis 66
Romania Agribusiness Report Q3 2015
© Business Monitor International Ltd Page 4
Europe GM Outlook . 66
Europe Machinery Outlook 72
Table: Select Companies - Sales Forecasts By Region (Company-based estimates) . 74
Europe Fertiliser Outlook . 77
Downstream Analysis ... 83
Food . 83
Food Consumption . 83
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data and Forecasts (Romania 2012-2019) 84
Confectionery 84
Table: Confectionery Value/Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Romania 2012-2019) . . 85
Canned Food 86
Meat 86
Table: Meat Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecast (Romania 2012-2019) . . 87
Pasta ... 87
Table: Pasta Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Romania 2012-2019) 88
Fish . 89
Table: Fish Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Romania 2012-2019) . 89
Frozen Fruit and Vegetables ... 89
Table: Frozen Fruit and Vegetables Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Romania 2012-2019) . 90
Snack Foods .. 90
Table: Snack Foods Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Romania 2012-2019) . . 91
Bread ... 91
Table: Bread Products (other) Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecast (Romania 2011-2018) 92
Oils And Fats 93
Dairy ... 93
Table: Dairy Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Romania 2012-2019) 94
Drink 96
Table: Alcoholic Drinks Value/Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Romania 2012-2019) . . 97
Table: Soft Drinks Sales, Production and Trade (Romania 2012-2019) 99
Table: Hot Drink Value/Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Romania 2012-2019) . . 101
Mass Grocery Retail .. 102
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format - Historical Data and Forecasts (Romania 2012-2019) 103
Table: Mass Grocery Retail By Format (%), 2012-2022 . 104
Regional Overview .. 105
Competitive Landscape .. 112
Table: Main Agribusiness Players 112
Demographic Forecast ... 113
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Romania 1990-2025) 114
Table: Key Population Ratios (Romania 1990-2025) . 114
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Romania 1990-2025) 115
Table: Population By Age Group (Romania 1990-2025) . 115
Table: Population By Age Group % (Romania 1990-2025) . 116
Methodology 118
Romania Agribusiness Report Q3 2015
© Business Monitor International Ltd Page 5
Industry Forecast Methodology .. 118
Sector-Specific Methodology .. 119

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