Romania Agribusiness Report Q3 2014

  • June 2014
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 118 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View:
We still believe the Romanian grain sector has the highest growth potential owing to its
competitiveness and its exposure to the Middle East and Asia. Sugar production is likely to grow strongly
because of base effects, as limited consumption growth from both the food and energy sectors will cap
production incentives. The livestock sector will remain just below self-sufficiency, and quality issues linked
to the horsemeat scandal will limit export growth opportunities to the rest of the EU, at least in the near
term.
Industry Developments
In September 2013, Egypt bought another batch of Romanian wheat. The Middle Eastern country imported
63,000 tonnes of wheat from Romania, Russia and Ukraine to be delivered between November 11 and
November 20 2013, according to the General Authority for Supply Commodities (GASC). The 60,000
tonnes of wheat imported from Romania were provided by Ameropa Grains S.A Constanta, the
Romanian subsidiary of Ameropa AG Holding Switzerland, at a price of USD254,9/tonne, the shipping
cost reaching around USD13/tonne. The price is similar to those charged by Russian company Venus
(USD254,50/tonne) and by Louis Dreyfus (USD251 per tonne). Still, we see it unlikely that Romania will
step in for lower exports from Russia and Ukraine during the crisis between the two countries as its wheat
stocks will be depleted by that point.

Table Of Contents

Romania Agribusiness Report Q3 2014
BMI Industry View . 7
SWOT .. 9
Agribusiness . 9
Business Environment . 12
Industry Forecast 13
Grains Outlook 13
Table: Romania Wheat Production and Consumption, 2013-2018 . . 14
Table: Romania Corn Production and Consumption, 2013-2018 14
Table: Romania Barley Production and Consumption, 2013-2018 . 14
Table: Romania Wheat Production and Consumption, 2008-2013 . . 16
Table: Romania Corn Production and Consumption, 2008-2013 16
Table: Romania Barley Production and Consumption, 2008-2013 . 16
Livestock Outlook .. 18
Table: Romania Poultry Production and Consumption, 2013-2018 . 19
Table: Romania Beef and Veal Production and Consumption, 2013-2018 . . 19
Table: Romania Pork Production and Consumption, 2013-2018 . 19
Table: Romania Poultry Production and Consumption, 2008-2013 . 27
Table: Romania Beef and Veal Production and Consumption, 2008-2013 . . 27
Table: Romania Pork Production and Consumption, 2008-2013 . 27
Dairy Outlook .. 29
Table: Romania Milk Production and Consumption, 2013-2018 . 30
Table: Romania Butter Production and Consumption, 2013-2018 . . 30
Table: Romania Cheese Production and Consumption, 2013-2018 . . 31
Table: Romania Milk Production and Consumption, 2008-2013 . 35
Table: Romania Butter Production and Consumption, 2008-2013 35
Table: Romania Cheese Production and Consumption, 2008-2013 . . 36
Sugar Outlook .. 37
Table: Romania Sugar Production and Consumption, 2013-2018 . . 37
Table: Romania Sugar Production and Consumption, 2008-2013 . . 38
Commodities Price Outlook ... 39
Monthly Grains Update .... 39
Table: Select Commodities - Performance and Forecasts 47
Monthly Softs Update .. 48
Table: Select Commodities - Performance and BMI Forecasts 58
Upstream Analysis ... 59
Europe Machinery Outlook 59
Table: Deere and Company - Agriculture and Turf Sales Growth Forecasts By Region 63
Europe GM Outlook .... 65
Europe Fertiliser Outlook . 70
Downstream Analysis ... 77
Food .... 77
Food Consumption .... 77
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data and Forecasts, 2011-2018 78
Confectionery . 78
Table: Confectionery Value/Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts, 2011-2018 . . 79
Canned Food . 82
Table: Canned Food Value/Volume Sales - Historical Data and Forecasts, 2011-2018 . 82
Meat ... 83
Table: Meat Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts, 2011-2018 83
Pasta .. 84
Table: Pasta Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts, 2011-2018 85
Snack Foods ... 86
Table: Jams and Jellies Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts, 2011-2018 . . 87
Bread .. 88
Table: Bread Products Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts, 2011-2018 . 88
Dairy .. 89
Table: Dairy Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts, 2011-2018 . . 90
Drink ... 95
Table: Alcoholic Drinks Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts, 2011-2018 . . 96
Table: Soft Drinks Value/Volume Sales - Historical Data and Forecasts, 2011-2018 . 98
Table: Hot Drinks Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts, 2011-2018 . . 102
Mass Grocery Retail . 103
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format - Historical Data and Forecasts, 2011-2018 . . 104
Table: Mass Grocery Retail By Format (%), 2012-2022 . 105
Regional Overview . 106
Competitive Landscape ... 112
Table: Main Agribusiness Players 112
Demographic Forecast .... 113
Table: Romania's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) . . 114
Table: Romania's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) . . 115
Table: Romania's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 116
Table: Romania's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 116
Methodology . 117
Industry Forecast Methodology 117
Sector-Specific Methodology .... 118

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