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Colombia Power Report Q3 2015

  • June 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 61 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates


BMI View: A vast pipeline of power projects under construction and our forecast for sustained growth in power consumption over the coming decade support our positive outlook for Colombia's power sector.
While hydropower will remain the dominant source of electricity in the country, we see upside potential for our growth forecast for gas-fired generation due to Colombia's cyclical exposure to dry weather. The resurgence of FARC's attacks against power infrastructure has increased the country's risk profile, but we maintain that a peace agreement will eventually be reached.
The sharp fall in global oil prices since the second half of 2014 has darkened BMI's outlook for Colombia's economy, with our Country Risk team expecting real GDP to expand at an average annual rate of 3.4% between 2015 and 2024, down from 4%. Nevertheless, we expect robust expansion in the country's mining and manufacturing industries will continue to drive strong growth in electricity consumption over the next decade.

Table Of Contents

Colombia Power Report Q3 2015
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Colombia Snapshot 11
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Colombia 2013-2018) 11
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Colombia 2019-2024) 11
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector 11
Colombia Power Forecast Scenario 12
Electricity Generation And Power Generating Capacity 12
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Colombia 2013-2018) 12
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Colombia 2019-2024) 13
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Colombia 2013-2018) 15
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Colombia 2019-2024) 15
Table: Colombia's Current Hydropower Project Pipeline 20
Electricity Consumption 23
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Colombia 2013-2018) 23
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Colombia 2019-2024) 23
Transmission and Distribution, Imports and Exports 24
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (Colombia 2013-2018) 24
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (Colombia 2019-2024) 24
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Colombia 2013-2018) 24
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Colombia 2019-2024) 24
Industry Risk Reward Index 27
Latin America Power Risk/Reward Index 27
Table: Latin America Power Risk/Reward Index (Scores Out Of 100) 32
Colombia Power Risk/Reward Index 34
Rewards 34
Risks 34
Market Overview 36
Key Policies And Market Structure 36
Regulation And Competition 36
Sustainable Energy Policies 37
Pricing 37
Colombia Power Projects Database 38
Table: Colombia Major Projects - Power 38
Competitive Landscape 40
Endesa/Emgesa 41
Interconexion Electrica (ISA) 41
Empresas Públicas de Medellín (EPM) 42
Isagen 43
Union Fenosa/EPSA 44
Codensa 44
Empresa de Energía de Bogotá (EEB) 45
Company Profile 46
Interconexión Electrica SA (ISA) 46
Regional Overview 49
Gas And Renewables To Offer Abundant Opportunities 49
Glossary 55
Table: Glossary Of Terms 55
Methodology 56
Industry Forecast Methodology 56
Sources 59
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 59
Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators 60
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 61

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