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Peru Real Estate Report Q3 2014

  • June 2014
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 65 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Peru's real estate sector will sustain its growth over the next few quarters with high demand across all sectors; office, retail and industrial as well as low vacancy rates in both Lima and Arequipa. The country's investment in new infrastructure projects and Peru emerging as one of the strongest economic players in Latin America are positive drivers for this forecast. BMI forecasts 5-8% net yields on investments across the office, retail, and industrial real estate in all cities surveyed, with the strongest numbers in the office sector. Peru's plans to award a record USD12bn in infrastructure projects contracts provide a critical push to sustain its current and future growth forecasts. Presently, Peru has a substandard infrastructure which deters trade and investment. However, the low base of infrastructure provides plenty of opportunities and scope for growth that may encourage international companies to set up base in Peru.

Table Of Contents

Peru Real Estate Report Q3 2014
BMI Industry View ...... 7
Recent Developments . 8
Key BMI forecasts ..... 8
SWOT ..... 9
Political .... 11
Economic .. 12
Business Environment 13
Industry Forecast ..... 14
Office ...... 15
Table: Office Forecast Rents - (PEN/sq m/month) . . 15
Table: Office Forecast Net Yield, 2011-2018 (%) 15
Retail ...... 16
Table: Retail Forecast Rents - (PEN/sq m/month) . . 16
Table: Retail Forecast Net Yield, 2011-2018 (%) 17
Industrial . 17
Table: Industrial Forecast Rents - (PEN/sq m/month) . 17
Table: Industrial Forecast Net Yield, 2011-2018 (%) . . 18
Construction and Infrastructure Forecast Scenario .... 18
Table: Peru Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data . 18
Table: Peru Construction And Infrastructure Long-Term Forecasts . 21
Macroeconomic Forecast ..... 26
Table: Peru - Economic Activity 30
Industry Risk Reward Ratings ...... 31
Latin America - Risk/Reward Ratings . 31
Table: Latin America Real Estate Risk/Reward Ratings . . 31
Market Overview ...... 32
Office 35
Table: Historic Rents - 2012-2014 (PEN/sq m/month) . 35
Table: Net Yield, 2012-2014 (%) . . 36
Table: Terms Of Rental Contract/Leases - H213 . 36
Retail 37
Table: Historic Rents - 2012-2014(PEN/sq m/month) . . 38
Table: Net Yield, 2011-2014 (%) . . 38
Table: Terms Of Rental Contract/Leases - H213 . 39
Peru Retail Sales Indicators ...... 39
Table: Peru Retail Sales Indicators, 2010-2017 . . 39
Industrial .. 40
Table: Historic Rents - 2012-2014 (PEN/sq m/month) . 41
Table: Net Yield, 2011-2014 (%) . . 41
Table: Terms Of Rental Contract/Leases - H213 . 42
Competitive Landscape .. 43
Company Profile 46
Abengoa Perú ... 46
Cosapi ...... 48
Graña y Montero (GyM) .... 50
Inversiones Centenario ...... 53
Negocios e Inmuebles . 55
Demographic Forecast ... 57
Table: Peru's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) . 58
Table: Peru's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) . 59
Table: Peru's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 60
Table: Peru's Rural/Urban Population, 1990-2020 60
Methodology ...... 61
Industry Forecast Methodology 61
Sources ... 62
Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology ... 62
Table: Real Estate Risk/Reward Ratings Indicators . 64
Table: Weighting Of Indicators . 65

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