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Poland Agribusiness Report Q3 2015

  • June 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 103 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Plummeting prices of milk and sugar in the EU over 2014/15 may be giving Polish producers of these commodities a taste of the possible downsides of deregulation in advance of reforms to EU quota systems. The Polish government is lobbying for EU support on behalf of the dairy industry, but in the long run it will take exploitation of overseas markets to secure the future wellbeing of the sub-sector. Wheat prices have also fallen in H115 as another strong harvest is expected across the EU. Yields in Poland will be slightly down on the previous year, but the longer-term trend for improved output per hectare suggests
improvements in farming practices are laying stronger foundations for future productivity. The livestock segment continues to struggle with the fallout from Russian sanctions and the outbreak of African swine fever. We see no immediate resolution to either problem and are cautious about the medium-term prospects for this segment.

Key Forecasts
- Wheat production growth to 2018/19: 5.3% to 10.0mn tonnes. Expansion in output will be relatively sluggish albeit coming from a high base.

Table Of Contents

Poland Agribusiness Report Q3 2015
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Agribusiness 9
Operational Risk 11
Industry Forecast 13
Grains Outlook 13
Table: Wheat Production and Consumption (Poland 2014-2019) 14
Table: Corn Production and Consumption (Poland 2014-2019) 14
Table: Barley Production and Consumption (Poland 2014-2019) 15
Table: Wheat Production and Consumption (Poland 2009-2014) 17
Table: Corn Production and Consumption (Poland 2009-2014) 17
Table: Barley Production and Consumption (Poland 2009-2014) 17
Dairy Outlook 19
Table: Milk Production and Consumption (Poland 2014-2019) 20
Table: Cheese Production and Consumption (Poland 2014-2019) 20
Table: Butter Production and Consumption (Poland 2014-2019) 21
Table: Milk Production and Consumption (Poland 2009-2014) 23
Table: Cheese Production and Consumption (Poland 2009-2014) 23
Table: Butter Production and Consumption (Poland 2009-2014) 23
Livestock Outlook 25
Table: Poultry Production and Consumption (Poland 2014-2019) 26
Table: Pork Production and Consumption (Poland 2014-2019) 26
Table: Beef Production and Consumption (Poland 2014-2019) 26
Table: Poultry Production and Consumption (Poland 2009-2014) 29
Table: Pork Production and Consumption (Poland 2009-2014) 29
Table: Beef Production and Consumption (Poland 2009-2014) 29
Sugar Outlook 31
Table: Sugar Production and Consumption (Poland 2014-2019) 31
Table: Sugar Production and Consumption (Poland 2009-2014) 33
Commodities Price Analysis 34
Monthly Softs Strategy 34
Table: Select Commodities - Performance and BMI Forecasts 43
Monthly Grains Strategy 44
Table: Select Commodities - Performance and BMI Forecasts 51
Upstream Analysis 52
Europe GM Outlook 52
Europe Machinery Outlook 58
Table: Select Companies - Sales Forecasts By Region (Company-based estimates) 60
Europe Fertiliser Outlook 63
Downstream Analysis 69
Food 69
Food Consumption 69
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data and Forecasts (Poland 2012-2019) 70
Confectionery 70
Table: Confectionery Value/Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Poland 2012-2019) 71
Meat 72
Table: Meat Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecast (Poland 2012-2019) 73
Fish 73
Table: Fish Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecast (Poland 2012-2019) 74
Oils And Fats 74
Table: Oils And Fats Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecast (Poland 2012-2019) 75
Frozen Fruit and Vegetables 76
Table: Frozen Fruit and Vegetables Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Poland 2012-2019) 76
Pasta 76
Table: Pasta Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Poland 2012-2019) 77
Snack Foods 77
Table: Snack Foods Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecast (Poland 2012-2019) 78
Dairy 79
Table: Dairy Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Poland 2012-2019) 80
Drink 82
Alcoholic Drinks 82
Table: Alcoholic Drinks Value/Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Poland 2012-2019) 83
Soft Drinks 84
Hot Drinks 85
Table: Hot Drink Value/Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Poland 2012-2019) 86
Mass Grocery Retail 87
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format - Historical Data and Forecasts (Poland 2012-2019) 88
Table: Retail Sales Breakdown By Format Type (as % of total) 88
Regional Overview 89
Competitive Landscape 96
Table: Main Agribusiness Players 96
Demographic Forecast 97
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Poland 1990-2025) 98
Table: Key Population Ratios (Poland 1990-2025) 98
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Poland 1990-2025) 99
Table: Population By Age Group (Poland 1990-2025) 99
Table: Population By Age Group % (Poland 1990-2025) 100
Methodology 102
Industry Forecast Methodology 102
Sector-Specific Methodology 103

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