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  4. > India Commercial Banking Report Q3 2016

India Commercial Banking Report Q3 2016

  • May 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 83 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI’s commercial banking forecast series covers 62 countries accounting for 80% of global GDP. Each report, researched at source, features BMI’s independent assessment and 5-year forecasts to end-2017 for the commercial banking sector in each market. Using its expertise in both country risk and financial markets analysis, BMI has created exclusive models to forecast a wealth of key variables on the commercial banking sector. Historic and forecast data are provided for the sector’s total asset and liability growth, client loans, and client deposits. Forecasts for key ratios including the loan-deposit ratio and the loan-asset ratio are also included, as well as core macro-economic forecasts.

Data is presented in both local currency and US dollar terms.Each report examines key drivers of growth and future prospects, including the macroeconomic situation, the level of development and potential for growth of the banking sector, the commercial initiatives of major players, government policy and the regulatory environment. Central to BMI’s analysis are our unique Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings. BMI’s unique country-comparative Risk-Reward Rating provides a clear, quantified, independent assessment of the opportunities and dangers of operating in each market. The methodology draws together our in-depth knowledge of competitive pressures, our comprehensive industry market forecasts, and our Country Risk team’s unrivalled analysis of economic, political and operational risks.The reports also feature profiles of leading banks, covering total assets, liabilities, client deposits, lending, bond holdings, main products and services, competitive positioning and ownership structure.

Table Of Contents

India Commercial Banking Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Indicators 7
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Key Ratios, January 2016 7
Table: Annual Growth Rate Projections 2015-2020 (%) 7
Table: Ranking Out Of 75 Countries Reviewed In 2016 8
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Indicators, 2013-2020 8
SWOT 9
Commercial Banking 9
Political 11
Economic 13
Operational Risk 15
Industry Forecast 17
Industry Trend Analysis 17
Table: Small Savings Schemes Interest Rate Cut 17
Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index 22
Asia Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index 22
Table: Asia Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index 23
Market Overview 24
GDP By Expenditure 24
Table: Manufacturing And Utilities Powering Ahead 26
Asia Commercial Banking Outlook 29
Table: Banks' Bond Portfolios, 2014 29
Table: Comparison of Loan/Deposit and Loan/Asset and Loan/GDP ratios, 2016 30
Table: Comparison of Total Assets and Client Loans and Client Deposits (USDbn) 30
Table: Comparison of USD Per Capita Deposits, 2016 31
Competitive Landscape 33
Market Structure 33
Protagonists 33
Table: Protagonists In India's Commercial Banking Sector 33
Definition Of The Commercial Banking Universe 33
List Of Banks 34
Table: Public Sector Banks 34
Table: Foreign Banks In India 35
Company Profile 37
Bank of Baroda 37
Table: Stock Market Indicators 38
Table: Balance Sheet (INRmn) 39
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 39
Table: Key Ratios (%) 39
HDFC Bank 40
Table: Stock Market Indicators 42
Table: Balance Sheet (INRmn) 42
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 42
Table: Key Ratios (%) 43
ICICI Bank 44
Table: Stock Market Indicators 46
Table: Balance Sheet (INRmn) 46
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 47
Table: Key Ratios (%) 47
Punjab National Bank 48
Table: Stock Market Indicators 50
Table: Balance Sheet (INRmn) 50
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 50
Table: Key Ratios (%) 51
State Bank of India 52
Table: Stock Market Indicators 54
Table: Balance Sheet (INRmn) 54
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 54
Table: Key Ratios (%) 55
Regional Overview 56
Industry Trend Analysis 56
Global Industry Overview 62
Industry Forecast 62
The Reserves Penalty 62
Mixed Results So Far 65
Not Far Enough, Or Too Far Already? 70
In The End, Negative Rates Unlikely To Become Much More Prevalent 71
Table: Negative Interest Rates - Summary 73
Demographic Forecast 74
Table: Population Headline Indicators (India 1990-2025) 75
Table: Key Population Ratios (India 1990-2025) 75
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (India 1990-2025) 76
Table: Population By Age Group (India 1990-2025) 76
Table: Population By Age Group % (India 1990-2025) 77
Methodology 79
Industry Forecast Methodology 79
Sector-Specific Methodology 80
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 81
Table: Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index Indicators 82
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 83

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