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Pakistan Telecommunications Report Q3 2016

  • June 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 56 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: We maintain a positive outlook for the Pakistani mobile market going forward into our currentforecast period through to 2020. Mobilink's plan to acquire Warid received regulatory approval and theconsolidation process is now underway. This will put significant pressure on competitors, especiallyCMPak (Zong), which has few strategic options other than to proceed with a USD1bn investment in itsmobile-only business. The deal would not create an excessively-powerful player, but renewed pricecompetition is expected and the negative impact on ARPUs can only be offset by increased uptake ofpremium services. This will be difficult in the prepaid-centric market, but the merger will at least motivatereviews of current business strategies.

Latest Updates And Industry Developments

- 3G/4G mobile users totalled 23.166mn at the end of 2015, representing 18.4% of the total mobilemarket. Although increased usage of non-voice services is reported, gains are neutralised by high taxesand termination rates as well as subsidised expansion into rural areas.

- Pakistan will hold another spectrum auction in June 2016, this time auctioning off one block of 10MHzpaired spectrum in the 850MHz band for an estimated USD395mn. This comes at a time when thenational demand for wireless broadband and mobile data is growing rapidly.

- The regulatory approval for the Mobilink-Warid deal will solidify the market leader's pole position andexert pressure on other operators, while perhaps leading to stiffer price competition.

Table Of Contents

Pakistan Telecommunications Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Industry SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Latest Updates 11
Structural Trends 11
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecasts (Pakistan 2013-2020) 14
Industry Risk/Reward Index 15
Asia Pacific Risk/Reward Index 15
Table: Asia Pacific Telecoms Risk/Reward Index, Q316 17
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 18
Market Overview 20
Market Drivers and Trends 20
Mobile 21
Wireline Voice and Broadband 23
Regulatory Development 26
Regulatory Overview 26
Licensing/Spectrum Auctions 26
Mobile Termination Rates 27
Mobile Number Portability 27
Infrastructure and SIMs 27
Merger Gets Green Lights 28
Competitive Landscape 29
Table: Key Companies 29
Mobile Operator Data 29
Table: Pakistan - Mobile Market Overview 29
Table: Mobilink 30
Table: Telenor 31
Table: Ufone 32
Table: Zong Telecom 32
Table: Warid Telecom 32
Company Profile 33
Pakistan Telecommunication Company Limited 33
Mobilink 36
Telenor Pakistan 39
Warid Telecom 42
Demographic Forecast 45
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Pakistan 1990-2025) 46
Table: Key Population Ratios (Pakistan 1990-2025) 46
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Pakistan 1990-2025) 47
Table: Population By Age Group (Pakistan 1990-2025) 47
Table: Population By Age Group % (Pakistan 1990-2025) 48
Glossary 50
Table: Glossary Of Terms 50
Methodology 52
Industry Forecast Methodology 52
Sources 54
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 54
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators 55
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 56

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