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  4. > Brazil Commercial Banking Report Q3 2016

Brazil Commercial Banking Report Q3 2016

  • May 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 82 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI’s commercial banking forecast series covers 62 countries accounting for 80% of global GDP. Each report, researched at source, features BMI’s independent assessment and 5-year forecasts to end-2017 for the commercial banking sector in each market. Using its expertise in both country risk and financial markets analysis, BMI has created exclusive models to forecast a wealth of key variables on the commercial banking sector. Historic and forecast data are provided for the sector’s total asset and liability growth, client loans, and client deposits. Forecasts for key ratios including the loan-deposit ratio and the loan-asset ratio are also included, as well as core macro-economic forecasts.

Data is presented in both local currency and US dollar terms.Each report examines key drivers of growth and future prospects, including the macroeconomic situation, the level of development and potential for growth of the banking sector, the commercial initiatives of major players, government policy and the regulatory environment. Central to BMI’s analysis are our unique Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings. BMI’s unique country-comparative Risk-Reward Rating provides a clear, quantified, independent assessment of the opportunities and dangers of operating in each market. The methodology draws together our in-depth knowledge of competitive pressures, our comprehensive industry market forecasts, and our Country Risk team’s unrivalled analysis of economic, political and operational risks.The reports also feature profiles of leading banks, covering total assets, liabilities, client deposits, lending, bond holdings, main products and services, competitive positioning and ownership structure.

Table Of Contents

Brazil Commercial Banking Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Indicators 7
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Key Ratios, February 2016 7
Table: Annual Growth Rate Projections 2015-2020 (%) 7
Table: Ranking Out Of 75 Countries Reviewed In 2016 8
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Indicators, 2013-2020 8
SWOT 9
Commercial Banking 9
Political 10
Economic 11
Operational Risk 12
Industry Forecast 14
Table: Brazil - Banking Sector Risk Snapshot 16
Table: Brazil - Banking Sector Overview 21
Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index 22
Latin America Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index 22
Table: Latin America Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index 23
Market Overview 24
Latin America Commercial Banking Outlook 24
Table: Banks' Bond Portfolios, 2014 24
Table: Comparison of Loan/Deposit and Loan/Asset and Loan/GDP ratios, 2016 24
Table: Comparison of Total Assets and Client Loans and Client Deposits (USDbn) 25
Table: Comparison of USD Per Capita Deposits, 2016 25
Economic Analysis 26
Table: 10-Year GDP Forecasts 32
Table: Private Consumption Forecasts 32
Table: Government Consumption Forecasts 33
Table: Gross Fixed Capital Formation Forecasts 33
Table: Net Export Forecasts 34
Competitive Landscape 35
Market Structure 35
Protagonists 35
Table: Protagonists In Brazil's Commercial Banking Sector 35
Definition Of The Commercial Banking Universe 35
List of Banks 36
Table: 50 Largest Banks In Brazil (by total assets) 36
Company Profile 38
Banco do Brasil 38
Table: Stock Market Indicators 40
Table: Balance Sheet (BRLmn) 40
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 41
Table: Key Ratios (%) 41
Banco Safra 42
Table: Balance Sheet (BRLmn) 44
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 44
Table: Key Ratios (%) 44
Bradesco 45
Table: Stock Market Indicators 46
Table: Balance Sheet (BRLmn) 47
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 47
Table: Key Ratios (%) 47
Caixa Economica Federal 48
Table: Balance Sheet (BRLmn) 50
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 50
Table: Key Ratios (%) 50
Santander 51
Table: Stock Market Indicators 53
Table: Balance Sheet (BRLmn) 53
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 54
Table: Key Ratios (%) 54
Regional Overview 55
Industry Forecast 55
Global Industry Overview 61
Industry Forecast 61
The Reserves Penalty 61
Mixed Results So Far 64
Not Far Enough, Or Too Far Already? 69
In The End, Negative Rates Unlikely To Become Much More Prevalent 70
Table: Negative Interest Rates - Summary 72
Demographic Forecast 73
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Brazil 1990-2025) 74
Table: Key Population Ratios (Brazil 1990-2025) 74
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Brazil 1990-2025) 75
Table: Population By Age Group (Brazil 1990-2025) 75
Table: Population By Age Group % (Brazil 1990-2025) 76
Methodology 78
Industry Forecast Methodology 78
Sector-Specific Methodology 79
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 80
Table: Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index Indicators 81
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 82

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