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Turkey Tourism Report Q3 2014

  • July 2014
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 55 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updatesBMI expects to see positive growth in Turkey's tourism market, with increases in terms of outbound travel outstripping the growth of inbound arrivals thanks to a positive domestic economic environment and increasing range of travel connections. Forecasts are reliant on political stability, and any return to the widespread unrest seen in 2013 could impact the expected growth.

While the situation appears to have largely calmed, any escalation in domestic tensions could deter both potential tourists and potential investors, particularly in the run-up to the scheduled elections in 2015. Similarly, should the conflict in neighbouring Syria spill across the border into Turkey, we could see a further impact on the tourism market, and high volumes of refugees could affect the country's economic and political stability.

Table Of Contents

Turkey Tourism Report Q3 2014
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT .. 9
Tourism .. 9
Political 11
Economic . 13
Business Environment 14
Industry Forecast .. 15
Inbound Tourism .. 16
Table: Inbound Tourism (Turkey 2011-2018) . 17
Table: Inbound Tourism, Top 10 Markets By Arrivals, '000 (Turkey 2011-2018) 19
Outbound Tourism .. 19
Table: Outbound Tourism (Turkey 2011-2018) . . 20
Table: Outbound Tourism, Top 10 Markets By Departures, '000 (Turkey 2011-2018) . 21
Travel . 21
Table: Receipts for Transport and Travel (Turkey 2011-2018) . 22
Table: Breakdown of Methods of Tourist Travel (Turkey 2011-2018) 23
Hotels . 23
Table: Hotel Accommodation (Turkey 2011-2018) . . 23
Table: Hotels and Restaurants Industry Value (Turkey 2011-2018) . . 25
Industry Risk/Reward Ratings .. 26
Tourism Risk/Reward Ratings . 26
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Tourism Risk/Reward Ratings . . 26
Security Risk/Reward Ratings . 28
Table: Europe Regional Security Ratings (scores out of 100, with 100 the best) 29
Market Overview 30
Table: Top 10 Global Hotel Groups . 31
Table: Turkey Airports Projects 33
Company Profile . 36
Dedeman Hotels and Resorts 36
Global Industry Overview .. 38
Table: Global Arrivals . 38
Table: Global Hotel Room Numbers . . 39
Global Assumptions . 40
Table: Global Assumptions, 2013-2018 . 41
Table: Global And Regional Real GDP Growth, 2013-2016 (% change y-o-y) . . 42
Developed States .. 43
Table: Developed States, Real GDP Growth Forecasts, 2013-2016 . . 43
Emerging Markets 45
Table: Emerging Markets, Real GDP Growth Forecasts, 2013-2016 . 46
Table: BMI Versus Bloomberg Consensus Real GDP Growth Forecasts, 2014 And 2015 (%) . 47
Demographic Forecast .. 48
Demographic Outlook 48
Table: Turkey's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) . . 49
Table: Turkey's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of population) . . 50
Table: Turkey's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 51
Table: Turkey's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 51
Methodology . 52
Industry Forecast Methodology . 52
Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology 53
Table: Weighting Of Indicators . 55

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