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Jordan Telecommunications Report Q3 2016

  • June 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 63 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: In our latest update on Jordan's telecommunications market we have made minor adjustmentsto our forecast for the country's mobile market. The latest operator data for Q415 suggest that the marketperformed significantly better in 2015, compared with FY14 when the market witnessed the termination of asignificant number of inactive SIMs. 4G launch efforts by all three operators are bearing fruit in thecountry, and we believe that this will empower organic growth in the mobile market sector. However, wecontinue to caution that the market remains saturated with a high degree of penetration and a strongconsumer preference for prepaid, low-value services. Over our five year forecast period to 2020, growthwill come from the 4G services sector, and a possible move towards converged plans that could driverevenue upwards while keeping competition strong.

Latest Updates & Industry Developments

- The latest available data for the final quarter of 2015 shows that the mobile market performed well duringthe year, with net additions of 570,000 subscribers in the 12 months to December 31. The market ended2015 with a total of 10.39mn subscribers.

- The wide spread launch of 4G services in 2015 and high uptake expected in 2016 and beyond will deliverorganic growth opportunities in a saturated market. We believe that carrier efforts to migrate users fromprepaid low-value services to postpaid plans will prove crucial for growth prospects and revenuegeneration.

- Unlike fixed voice, the fixed broadband market saw strong growth in 2015, at a rate of 16.7% to reachmore than 2.0mn connections. By 2020, we expect the number of connections to reach 3.2mn, for apenetration rate of over 39%.

Table Of Contents

Jordan Telecommunications Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Telecoms 9
Industry Forecast 11
Latest Updates 11
Structural Trends 11
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecasts (Jordan 2013-2020) 15
Industry Risk/Reward Index 16
Middle East and North Africa Risk/Reward Index 16
Table: Mena Telecoms Risk/Reward Index, Q316 18
Jordan Risk/Reward Index 19
Market Overview 21
Market Drivers and Trends 21
Mobile 23
Wireline Voice and Broadband 28
Table: Jordan Internet Subscriptions By Technology ('000) 28
Table: Jordan Fixed-Line Subscriptions 29
Regulatory Development 30
Regulatory Overview 30
Table: Jordan: Regulatory Bodies And Their Responsibilities 30
Latest Developments 33
Competitive Landscape 36
Table: Key Players - Jordan Telecoms Markets 36
Table: Jordan Mobile Market Overview 2013-2015 36
Table: Orange (Jordan Telecom) 37
Table: Umniah 2013-2015 38
Table: Zain 2013-2015 39
Company Profile 41
Orange Jordan 41
Zain Jordan 45
Umniah 49
Demographic Forecast 52
Jordan Demographic Forecast 52
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Jordan 1990-2025) 53
Table: Key Population Ratios (Jordan 1990-2025) 53
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Jordan 1990-2025) 54
Table: Population By Age Group (Jordan 1990-2025) 54
Table: Population By Age Group % (Jordan 1990-2025) 55
Glossary 57
Table: Glossary Of Terms 57
Methodology 59
Industry Forecast Methodology 59
Sources 61
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 61
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators 62
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 63

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