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China Information Technology Report Q3 2016

  • May 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 89 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Despite economic uncertainty, the expansion of the Chinese IT market and local industryremains our core scenario. We envisage a CAGR of 8.6% for 2016-2020 as the hardware market gainsmomentum. Although a hard landing is a downside risk, under our core scenario, we envisage broad-basedincome growth, enterprise modernisation and government support for the IT industry. In particular,emerging technologies such as cloud computing and the Internet of Things will drive market expansion overthe medium term. However, opportunities will not be distributed evenly to foreign vendors operating inChina, which will face growing challenges as national interests and local companies are prioritised.

Latest Updates And Industry Developments

- Computer Hardware Sales: CNY592.1bn in 2016 to CNY735.5bn in 2020, a compound annual growthrate (CAGR) of 5.6% in local currency terms. Market maturity means growth will be slower than thedecade to 2013, but rising incomes has upside for vendors to focus on higher price and margin PCs in theretail market.

- Software Sales: CNY100.8bn in 2016 to CNY164.5bn in 2020, CAGR of 13.0%. Rising labour costsand broader dynamic of enterprise modernisation will underpin increased software spending, while clouddelivery models offering lower costs and more flexibility will deepen the market.

- IT Services Sales: CNY253.7bn in 2016 to CNY415.8bn in 2020, CAGR of 13.1%. Corporateinvestments and state support for development of Chinese cloud computing industry will drive ITservices outperformance.

Table Of Contents

China Information Technology Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
IT SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Latest Updates 11
Structural Trends 11
Table: Enterprise Trends - GVA By Vertical (China 2015-2020) 16
Table: IT Industry - Historical Data And Forecasts (China 2013-2020) 17
Industry Trend Analysis 18
Industry Risk/Reward Index 23
Table: Asia Pacific IT Risk/Reward Index, Q3 2016 26
Market Overview 27
Hardware 27
Software 33
Cloud Computing 38
Table: China Cloud Vendor Developments, 2015 44
IT Services 45
Industry Trends And Developments 49
IT Hardware Trade 49
Table: Emerging APAC IT Hardware Trade, 2010-2015 49
Table: China IT Hardware Trade, 2010-2015 50
Local Industry 51
Regulatory Development 55
Table: Government Authority 55
Regulatory Developments 58
Competitive Landscape 60
International Companies 60
Table: Apple 60
Table: Foxconn 61
Local Companies 62
Table: Inspur 62
Table: Neusoft 63
Table: Yonyou Software 64
Regional Overview 65
Demographic Forecast 69
Table: Population Headline Indicators (China 1990-2025) 70
Table: Key Population Ratios (China 1990-2025) 70
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (China 1990-2025) 71
Table: Population By Age Group (China 1990-2025) 71
Table: Population By Age Group % (China 1990-2025) 72
Appendix 74
13th Five-Year Plan: Key Points 74
Summary Of Contents 74
Chapter 1: Overview 75
Table: Targets 75
Chapter 2: Innovation To Drive Development 76
Chapter 3: Economic Institutions 77
Chapter 4: Modernisation Of The Agricultural Sector 78
Chapter 5: Industries 79
Chapter 6: Expand The Network Economy 80
Chapter 7: Build A Modern Infrastructure Network 80
Chapter 8: New-Type Urbanisation 81
Chapter 9: Coordination Of Regional Development 82
Chapter 10: Environmental Protection 83
Chapter 11: Continue Opening Up 83
Others: 83
Methodology 85
Industry Forecast Methodology 85
Sources 87
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 87
Table: IT Risk/Reward Index Indicators 88
Table: Weighting Of Components 89

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