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  5. > India Power Report Q3 2016

India Power Report Q3 2016

  • July 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 75 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Our view that power sector reforms would be a top priority for Modi's government is playingout. We are seeing notable progress in the Indian power market regarding renewable energy `expansion,reducing red tape for power projects and improving fuel availability for thermal generation. That said,investment in India's power grid infrastructure will need to increase if Prime Minister Modi's ambitiouspower plans are to be realised. The transmission and distribution network remains highly inefficient, posinga significant risk to the expansion of the power and renewables sector in India. Reforming power tariffs willtherefore be fundamental to ensuring sustainable supply and achieving Modi's power expansion ambitions.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends

- The sizeable coal power project pipeline and the widespread availability of coal - from low cost Asiaseaborne imports and growing domestic production - will ensure coal will remain the dominant fuelchoice for India's power sector, despite growth in alternative sources, such as nuclear and renewables. Weforecast coal to contribute 64% to India's power generation mix in 2025.

- Since coming to power, the government has relaxed several environmental rules to make it easier forcompanies to develop new projects. Small and medium-sized coal miners can now expand production by50% without public consent, while polluting industries can operate closer to national parks. Thisrelaxation of environmental laws has translated into a major reduction in red tape for the power sectorand significant progress has been made with clearing the backlog of projects awaiting environmentalapproval.

- The revival of nine stranded gas-fired plants in March 2016 shows that gas power can operateeconomically without liquefied natural gas (LNG) subsidies. Although this reinforces our outlook thatIndia's LNG imports will grow as a result of cheaper LNG spot prices, limitations to the gas pipelinenetwork will constrain gas consumption by the power sector.

- India will maintain its position as a key global renewables market, as ongoing support from thegovernment drives growth. The solar sector will register the greatest expansion, with high installationrates across both residential and utility-scale projects. Risks are emerging, and continued high levels ofinvestor interest in the market will be contingent on the timely realisation of the vast existing projectpipeline.

Table Of Contents

India Power Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Power Forecasts (India 2015-2021) 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
India Snapshot 11
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (India 2015-2019) 11
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (India 2020-2025) 11
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector 11
India Power Forecast Scenario 12
Thermal Power Generation And Capacity 16
Nuclear Power Generation and Capacity 19
Hydropower Generation And Capacity 21
Renewables Generation And Capacity 22
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (India 2014-2019) 26
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (India 2020-2025) 27
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (India 2014-2019) 28
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (India 2020-2025) 29
Electricity Consumption 29
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (India 2014-2019) 30
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (India 2020-2025) 30
Transmission and Distribution, Imports and Exports 30
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (India 2014-2019) 34
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (India 2020-2025) 34
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (India 2014-2019) 34
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (India 2020-2025) 34
Power Risk/Reward Index 35
Asia Power RRI: China's Score Slipping, India Pushing Ahead 35
Table: Asia Power Risk/Reward Ratings (Scores Out Of 100) 42
India Power Risk/Reward Index 43
Rewards 43
Risks 44
Market Overview 45
Key Policies And Market Structure 45
Regulation And Competition 45
Sustainable Energy Policies 47
Pricing 49
India Power Projects Database 50
Table: India - Top 10 Power Projects By Capacity 50
Competitive Landscape 53
Power Grid 53
National Thermal Power Corporation 54
National Hydroelectric Power Corporation 54
Nuclear Power Corporation Of India 55
Company Profile 56
National Hydroelectric Power Corporation (NHPC) 56
National Thermal Power Corporation (NTPC) 59
Regional Overview 62
Asia - Asia Power: Shifting Fuel Dynamics, Coal Still King 62
Glossary 69
Table: Glossary Of Terms 69
Methodology 70
Methodology And Sources 70
Industry Forecast Methodology 70
Sources 73
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 73
Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators 74
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 75

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