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South Korea Power Report Q3 2016

  • June 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 63 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: The outlook for South Korea's renewables industry remains muted, despite the recentannouncement of the government's clean energy investment plan. The country's challenging regulatoryenvironment for renewables and the availability of cheaper sources of power, notably nuclear and coal, willundermine investment in the sector.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends

- We forecast overall power generation to grow at an average of 3.6% a year between 2016 and 2025,reaching 788.4 terawatt hours (TWh) by the end of the period. While coal- and gas-fired generation willcontinue to play a vital role, we expect nuclear generation to have the fastest growth rates. That said, webelieve high growth rates will feature more greatly in the second half of our 10-year forecast period,given the current high level of public distrust of nuclear power.

- The South Korean market for liquefied natural gas (LNG) will cool in the near-term, as high prices andcompany obligations to cut expenditure will see Kogas and utilities trim LNG purchases and rely onnuclear whenever possible. In the longer term, new gas power plants and the country's quest to increasepower supply to the market will mean LNG demand rises, although we have also moderated our forecaststo show slower demand growth.

Table Of Contents

South Korea Power Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Power Forecasts (South Korea 2015-2021) 7
Latest Updates And Structural Trends 7
SWOT 8
Industry Forecast 10
South Korea Snapshot 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (South Korea 2015-2019) 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (South Korea 2020-2025) 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector 10
South Korea Power Forecast Scenario 11
Coal Generation And Capacity Forecasts 11
Nuclear Generation And Capacity Forecasts 12
Gas Generation And Capacity Forecasts 13
Renewables Generation And Capacity Forecasts 14
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (South Korea 2014-2019) 16
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (South Korea 2020-2025) 17
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (South Korea 2014-2019) 18
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (South Korea 2020-2025) 19
Electricity Consumption 19
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (South Korea 2014-2019) 20
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (South Korea 2020-2025) 21
Transmission And Distribution, Imports And Exports 21
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (South Korea 2014-2019) 22
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (South Korea 2020-2025) 22
Industry Risk/Reward Index 23
Asia Power RRI: China's Score Slipping, India Pushing Ahead 23
Table: Asia Power Risk/Reward Ratings (Scores Out Of 100) 30
South Korea Power Risk/Reward Index 31
Rewards 31
Risks 31
Market Overview 33
Key Policies And Market Structure 33
Regulation And Competition 33
Sustainable Energy Policies 33
Pricing 34
Carbon Trading 35
Table: Emissions Reduction Targets By Industry 35
Table: Top Emitters Of Carbon Dioxide In 2012 By Country 36
South Korea Power Projects Database 37
Table: Key Power Projects 37
Competitive Landscape 43
Company Profile 46
Korea Electric Power Corporation (Kepco) 46
Regional Overview 50
Asia - Asia Power: Shifting Fuel Dynamics, Coal Still King 50
Glossary 57
Table: Glossary Of Terms 57
Methodology 58
Methodology And Sources 58
Industry Forecast Methodology 58
Sources 61
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 61
Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators 62
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 63

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