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Czech Republic Power Report Q3 2016

  • May 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 56 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: We forecast that total electricity generation in the Czech Republic is set to decline by an annualaverage of 2.2% throughout our 10-year forecast period. A lack of new power plants planned,decommissioning of nuclear reactors and the lack of economic viability for renewable electricity underlinesthis forecast. By the end of 2025, we expect Czech Republic to become a net-importer of electricity.

Latest Updates and Structural Trends

- We have fully included the 841 megawatt (MW) Po'erady combined cycle gas turbine (CCGT) into ourforecasts from 2021 onwards. Although the plant is currently only utilised as a backup source ofgeneration in case of electricity shortages, we forecast it will be utilised full-time as some of the ageingnuclear power plants are decommissioned.

- Unit 1 of the Dukovany Nuclear Power Plant has been licensed to operate further, for an indefinitetimeframe. We do not currently alter our nuclear power generation forecasts due to flawed safety checksat the nuclear reactors which have led to the power plants operating below capacity.

- US-based supplier, Westinghouse, has won the contract to supply the fuel for ?EZ Holdings' Temelínnuclear power plant after lead test assemblies determined that alternative nuclear fuels were compatiblewith the reactor.

- We are maintaining our muted forecasts for non-hydropower renewable electricity in Czech Republic.We do not forecast growth in renewable electricity after the Czech Regulatory Office's (ERU) statementsthat it will only make feed-in-tariff (FiT) payments available to power plants that have been approved bythe European Commission (EC). We forecast that generation from non-hydropower renewables will totalup to 6.2 terawatt hours (TWh) in 2025, from a level of 6.1TWh in 2016.

- We are maintaining our forecasts for transmission and distribution losses over our 10-year forecastperiod. We forecast losses to decrease from 4.7% of total electricity generation in 2016 to 3.3% in 2025.

Table Of Contents

Czech Republic Power Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Power Forecasts (Czech Republic 2015-2021) 7
SWOT 8
Industry Forecast 10
Czech Republic Snapshot 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Czech Republic 2015-2019) 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Czech Republic 2020-2025) 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector 10
Czech Republic Power Forecast Scenario 11
Thermal Generation And Power Generating Capacity 11
Nuclear Generation And Power Generating Capacity 13
Table: Czech Nuclear Reactor Capacity And Decommissioning Dates 14
Renewables Generation And Power Generating Capacity 16
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Czech Republic 2014-2019) 17
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Czech Republic 2020-2025) 18
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Czech Republic 2014-2019) 19
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Czech Republic 2020-2025) 19
Electricity Consumption 20
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Czech Republic 2014-2019) 20
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Czech Republic 2020-2025) 20
Transmission and Distribution 21
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (Czech Republic 2014-2019) 22
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (Czech Republic 2020-2025) 22
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Czech Republic 2014-2019) 22
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Czech Republic 2020-2025) 22
Industry Risk/Reward Index 23
CEE Power Risk/Reward Index 23
Table: CEE Risk/Reward Index 28
Czech Republic Power Risk/Reward Index 29
Rewards 29
Risks 30
Market Overview 31
Key Policies And Market Structure 31
Regulation And Competition 31
Sustainable Energy Policies 32
Pricing 34
Table: Half-yearly Electricity And Gas Prices, H2, 2012-2014 (EUR per kWh) 35
Czech Republic Power Projects Database 36
Table: Czech Republic - Top Power Projects By Capacity 36
Competitive Landscape 37
?EZ 37
?EPS 38
PRE 38
EON 38
Company Profile 39
?EZ 39
Table: ?EZ's Strategic Programmes 40
Regional Overview 43
CEE Power Regional Overview 43
Glossary 50
Table: Glossary Of Terms 50
Methodology 51
Methodology And Sources 51
Industry Forecast Methodology 51
Sources 54
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 54
Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators 55
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 56

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