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  4. > South Africa Autos Report Q3 2016

South Africa Autos Report Q3 2016

  • June 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 38 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Weak consumer sentiment will dampen passenger vehicle sales as the consumer is faced withincreasing costs associated with owning a vehicle. The domestic vehicle market will contract 6.1% in2016 ,however, the production industry remains the bright spot in the economy. The export market and asupportive automotive policy will provide an outlet which will drive production growth of 1.9% in 2016.Key Views

- Uncertainty surrounding Eskom and its power supply remain an upside risk to vehicle manufacturing.

- The export market providing an outlet for production in a declining domestic market.

- As economic headwinds mount consumer tastes are shifting towards the more affordable used car market.

- Automotive Production and Development Programme will provide support to total vehicle productionand sales.

Table Of Contents

South Africa Autos Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Key Views 7
SWOT 8
Industry Forecast 9
Industry Forecast Scenario 9
Table: Autos Total Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (South Africa 2014-2020) 9
Latest Developments 9
Structural Trends 9
Passenger Vehicles 16
Table: Passenger Car Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (South Africa 2014-2020) 16
Latest Developments And Segment Drivers 16
Key Players 16
Table: Top 10 Passenger Vehicle Sales By Brand 16
Commercial Vehicles 17
Table: Commercial Vehicle Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (South Africa 2014-2020) 17
Latest Developments And Segment Drivers 17
Key Players 17
Table: Top Light Commercial Brands By Market Share 17
Table: Top Medium Commercial Vehicle Brands By Market Share 18
Table: Top Heavy Commercial Vehicle Brands By Market Share 19
Table: Top Extra Heavy Commercial Vehicle Brands By Market Share 19
Table: Top Bus Brands By Market Share 20
Industry Risk/Reward Index 21
Sub-Saharan Africa - Risk/Reward Index 21
Average Scores Show Room For Improvement 21
Manufacturers Among Outperformers 22
Middle Ground Shows Potential Movers 22
Company Profile 24
Toyota South Africa Motors (TSAM) 24
Volkswagen South Africa (VWSA) 25
Ford Motor Company of Southern Africa (FMCSA) 26
Regional Overview 27
Sub-Saharan Africa Overview 27
Table: Sub-Saharan Africa Autos Production Investment 27
Export Potential Lures Investment 28
Kenya Becoming CV Hub 28
Nigeria Still Unlikely As A Hub 29
Demographic Forecast 30
Demographic Outlook 30
Table: Population Headline Indicators (South Africa 1990-2025) 31
Table: Key Population Ratios (South Africa 1990-2025) 31
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (South Africa 1990-2025) 32
Table: Population By Age Group (South Africa 1990-2025) 32
Table: Population By Age Group % (South Africa 1990-2025) 33
Methodology 35
Industry Forecasts 35
Sector-Specific Methodology 36
Sources 36
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 37
Table: Automotive Risk/Reward Index Indicators And Weighting Of Indicators 38

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