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  4. > Nigeria Commercial Banking Report Q3 2016

Nigeria Commercial Banking Report Q3 2016

  • June 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 73 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI’s commercial banking forecast series covers 62 countries accounting for 80% of global GDP. Each report, researched at source, features BMI’s independent assessment and 5-year forecasts to end-2017 for the commercial banking sector in each market. Using its expertise in both country risk and financial markets analysis, BMI has created exclusive models to forecast a wealth of key variables on the commercial banking sector. Historic and forecast data are provided for the sector’s total asset and liability growth, client loans, and client deposits. Forecasts for key ratios including the loan-deposit ratio and the loan-asset ratio are also included, as well as core macro-economic forecasts. Data is presented in both local currency and US dollar terms.Each report examines key drivers of growth and future prospects, including the macroeconomic situation, the level of development and potential for growth of the banking sector, the commercial initiatives of major players, government policy and the regulatory environment.

Central to BMI’s analysis are our unique Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings. BMI’s unique country-comparative Risk-Reward Rating provides a clear, quantified, independent assessment of the opportunities and dangers of operating in each market. The methodology draws together our in-depth knowledge of competitive pressures, our comprehensive industry market forecasts, and our Country Risk team’s unrivalled analysis of economic, political and operational risks.The reports also feature profiles of leading banks, covering total assets, liabilities, client deposits, lending, bond holdings, main products and services, competitive positioning and ownership structure.

Table Of Contents

Nigeria Commercial Banking Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Indicators 7
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Key Ratios, March 2016 7
Table: Annual Growth Rate Projections 2015-2020 (%) 7
Table: Ranking Out Of 75 Countries Reviewed In 2016 8
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Indicators, 2013-2020 8
SWOT 9
Commercial Banking 9
Political 10
Economic 11
Operational Risk 12
Industry Forecast 14
Table: Nigeria - Banking Sector Risk Snapshot 18
Industry Risk/Reward Index 20
Middle East and Africa Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index 20
Table: Middle East and Africa Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index 21
Market Overview 22
Middle East and Africa Commercial Banking Outlook 22
Table: Banks' Bond Portfolios, 2014 22
Table: Comparison Of Loan/Deposit, Loan/Asset And Loan/GDP Ratios, 2016 23
Table: Comparison Of Total Assets, Client Loans And Client Deposits (USDbn) 24
Table: Comparison Of USD Per Capita Deposits, 2016 25
Economic Analysis 26
Competitive Landscape 30
Market Structure 30
Protagonists 30
Table: Protagonists In Nigeria's Commercial Banking Sector 30
Definition Of The Commercial Banking Universe 31
List Of Banks 31
Table: Deposit Money Banks 31
Company Profile 32
Access Bank Nigeria 32
Table: Stock Market Indicators 33
Table: Balance Sheet (NGNmn) 34
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 34
Table: Key Ratios (%) 34
FirstBank 35
Table: Stock Market Indicators 37
Table: Balance Sheet (NGNmn) 37
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 38
Table: Key Ratios (%) 38
Guaranty Trust Bank 39
Table: Stock Market Indicators 40
Table: Balance Sheet (NGNmn) 41
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 41
Table: Key Ratios (%) 41
United Bank For Africa PLC 42
Table: Stock Market Indicators 43
Table: Balance Sheet (NGNmn) 43
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 44
Table: Key Ratios (%) 44
Zenith Bank 45
Table: Stock Market Indicators 47
Table: Balance Sheet (NGNmn) 47
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 47
Table: Key Ratios (%) 48
Regional Overview 49
Industry Trend Analysis 49
Global Industry Overview 52
Industry Forecast 52
The Reserves Penalty 52
Mixed Results So Far 55
Not Far Enough, Or Too Far Already? 60
In The End, Negative Rates Unlikely To Become Much More Prevalent 61
Table: Negative Interest Rates - Summary 63
Demographic Forecast 64
Demographic Outlook 64
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Nigeria 1990-2025) 65
Table: Key Population Ratios (Nigeria 1990-2025) 65
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Nigeria 1990-2025) 66
Table: Population By Age Group (Nigeria 1990-2025) 66
Table: Population By Age Group % (Nigeria 1990-2025) 67
Methodology 69
Industry Forecast Methodology 69
Sector-Specific Methodology 70
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 71
Table: Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index Indicators 72
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 73

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