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South Africa Pharmaceuticals and Healthcare Report Q3 2016

  • July 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 113 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: South Africa boasts the largest pharmaceutical market in Africa, and already has a wellestablishedmanufacturing industry supported by foreign investment. An improving regulatory environment,promising economic growth and high per capita spending will all contribute to South Africa's increasinglyattractive operating environment. More companies will express an interest in South Africa's pharmaceuticalmarket in the coming years as part of a strategy to increase both the scale of their manufacturing footprintand also their product portfolio in emerging Sub-Saharan markets.

Headline Expenditure Projections

- Pharmaceuticals: ZAR43.41bn (USD3.40bn) in 2015 to ZAR47.48bn (USD3.04bn) in 2016; +9.4% inlocal currency terms and -10.7% in US dollar terms. Forecast revised upwards from last quarter.

- Healthcare: ZAR359.7bn (USD28.2bn) in 2015 to ZAR387.3bn (USD24.8bn) in 2016; +7.7% in localcurrency terms and -12.1% in US dollar terms. Forecast revised upwards from last quarter.

Table Of Contents

South Africa Pharmaceuticals and Healthcare Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Pharmaceuticals and Healthcare Forecasts (South Africa 2014-2020) 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Pharmaceutical Market Forecast 11
Table: Pharmaceutical Sales, Historical Data And Forecasts (South Africa 2012-2020) 13
Healthcare Market Forecast 14
Table: Healthcare Expenditure Trends, Historical Data And Forecasts (South Africa 2012-2020) 16
Table: Government Healthcare Expenditure Trends, Historical Data And Forecasts (South Africa 2012-2020) 16
Table: Private Healthcare Expenditure Trends, Historical Data And Forecasts (South Africa 2012-2020) 17
Prescription Drug Market Forecast 18
Table: Prescription Drug Market Indicators, Historical Data And Forecasts (South Africa 2012-2020) 19
Patented Drug Market Forecast 20
Table: Patented Drug Market Indicators, Historical Data And Forecasts (South Africa 2012-2020) 22
Generic Drug Market Forecast 23
Table: Generic Drug Market Indicators, Historical Data And Forecasts (South Africa 2012-2020) 24
OTC Medicine Market Forecast 25
Table: Over-The-Counter (OTC) Medicine Market Indicators, Historical Data And Forecasts (South Africa 2012-2020) 27
Pharmaceutical Trade Forecast 28
Table: Pharmaceutical Trade Data And Forecasts (South Africa 2014-2020) 29
Table: Pharmaceutical Trade Data And Forecasts local currency (South Africa 2014-2020) 29
Industry Risk/Reward Index 30
Middle East and Africa Risk/Reward Index - Q3 2016 30
South Africa Risk/Reward Index 38
Rewards 38
Risks 39
Regulatory Review 40
Table: Drug Classification System 40
Intellectual Property Issues 45
Pricing Regime 48
Table: Tiered Pharmaceutical Pricing System Is Better Than A Flat Fixed Mark-Up 48
Reimbursement Regime 50
Market Overview 51
Healthcare Sector 52
Table: Healthcare Resources (South Africa 2010-2015) 58
Table: Healthcare Personnel (South Africa 2010-2015) 58
Table: Healthcare Activity (South Africa 2010-2015) 59
Research and Development 59
Clinical Trials 60
Epidemiology 64
Competitive Landscape 68
Research-Based Industry 68
Table: Multinational Market Activity 70
Generic Drugmakers 71
Pharmaceutical Retail Sector 72
Company Profile 76
Aspen Pharmacare 76
Adcock Ingram 80
Cipla Medpro 84
GlaxoSmithKline 88
Novartis 92
Pfizer 94
Roche 97
Sanofi 99
Demographic Forecast 102
Demographic Outlook 102
Table: Population Headline Indicators (South Africa 1990-2025) 103
Table: Key Population Ratios (South Africa 1990-2025) 103
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (South Africa 1990-2025) 104
Table: Population By Age Group (South Africa 1990-2025) 104
Table: Population By Age Group % (South Africa 1990-2025) 105
Glossary 107
Methodology 109
Pharmaceutical Expenditure Forecast Model 109
Healthcare Expenditure Forecast Model 109
Notes On Methodology 110
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 111
Index Overview 112
Table: Pharmaceutical Risk/Reward Index Indicators 112
Indicator Weightings 113

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