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Saudi Arabia Retail Report Q3 2016

  • June 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 64 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: With little prospect of a significant upturn in oil prices, Saudi Arabia is entering a protractedperiod of subdued growth. As a result, business confidence remains depressed and this will impact on bothsales and employment. This has prompted a further downward revision to our 2016 household expendituregrowth in the retail sector from 7.8% to 6.7%.

Key Views & Developments

- Saudi Arabia is entering a protracted period of subdued growth, with low oil prices negatively impactingbusiness confidence, banking liquidity and government spending. In addition, real growth in the oil sectorwill decelerate, further compounding the country's economic slowdown. We are therefore forecasting realeconomic growth of 1.0% in 2016 and 1.5% in 2017, down from 3.4% in 2015. This year will mark theslowest growth rate for the Saudi economy since 2002.

- The continued economic headwinds facing Saudi Arabia have prompted us to revise downwards our 2016household expenditure growth forecast from 7.8% to 6.7%. This still represents a healthy level of growth,however, with the pace likely to pick up again next year.

Table Of Contents

Saudi Arabia Retail Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Headline Retail Forecast 11
Table: Total Household Spending (Saudi Arabia 2013-2020) 14
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % Of Total (Saudi Arabia 2013-2020) 14
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % of GDP (Saudi Arabia 2013-2020) 15
Table: Headline Retail Sector Spending (Saudi Arabia 2013-2020) 17
Retail Sector Forecast 19
Food, Drink and Tobacco 20
Table: Food, Drink and Tobacco Spending (Saudi Arabia 2013-2020) 21
Clothing and Footwear 21
Table: Clothing and Footwear Spending (Saudi Arabia 2013-2020) 22
Household Goods 22
Table: Household Goods Spending (Saudi Arabia 2013-2020) 23
Personal Care 24
Table: Personal Care Spending (Saudi Arabia 2013-2020) 24
Household Numbers And Income Forecast 24
Table: Household Income Data (Saudi Arabia 2013-2020) 27
Table: Labour Market Data (Saudi Arabia 2013-2020) 30
Demographic Forecast 31
Table: Total Population (Saudi Arabia 2013-2020) 34
Table: Population: Babies (Saudi Arabia 2013-2020) 34
Table: Population: Young Children (Saudi Arabia 2013-2020) 35
Table: Population: Children (Saudi Arabia 2013-2020) 35
Table: Population: Young Teens and Older Children (Saudi Arabia 2013-2020) 35
Table: Population: Young People (Saudi Arabia 2013-2020) 36
Table: Population: Older Teenagers (Saudi Arabia 2013-2020) 36
Table: Population: 21yrs + (Saudi Arabia 2013-2020) 36
Table: Population: Young Adults (Saudi Arabia 2013-2020) 37
Table: Population: Middle Aged (Saudi Arabia 2013-2020) 37
Table: Population: Urban (Saudi Arabia 2013-2020) 37
Industry Risk/Reward Index 38
Middle East And North Africa Risk/Reward Index 38
Table: Middle East And North Africa Retail Risk/Reward Index, Q316 38
Saudi Arabia Risk/Reward Index 39
Rewards 39
Risks 40
Market Overview 42
Competitive Landscape 47
Clothing and Footwear 47
Table: Selected Clothing And Footwear Retailers 47
Household Goods 48
Table: Selected Household Goods Retailers 48
Electronics 48
Table: Selected Electronics Retailers 48
Department Stores 49
Table: Selected Department Store Retailers 49
E-Commerce 49
Table: Selected E-Commerce Retailers 49
Drug Store/Pharmacies 50
Table: Selected Pharmacies Retailers 50
Glossary 51
Methodology 58
Industry Forecast Methodology 58
Sources 61
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 61
Table: Retail Risk/Reward Index Indicators 62
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 64

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