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United Arab Emirates Retail Report Q3 2016

  • July 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 62 pages

BMI View:

Lower oil prices and economic slowdown in Russia and China inevitably had a negative effect on tourism-dependent retail market in the UAE. With uncertainty persisting in the global markets, the country's retail growth will plateau to remain low by its own standards. However, with an anticipated 7.7% expansion in 2016, household spending will buoy UAE's retail sector helping it to stand out in the global context. Construction of shopping centres and residential and entertainment projects will persist beyond this year until Dubai Expo 2020 ensuring at least five years of robust economic growth.


Key Views & Developments
- Growth in luxury retail sector has slowed down in Q1 2016, as, according to Albawaba, some retailers registered declines in sales exceeding 10% signifying some of the worst months since the financial crisis prompted by worsened Chinese and Russian consumer sentiment.
- Household goods retail is getting a boost as MMS Gulf is starting construction of Art Centre, the first mall dedicated to homeware. The USD81mn shopping centre will house over 100 stores and will tentatively open in April 2017.

Table Of Contents

United Arab Emirates Retail Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View ... 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast .. 11
Headline Retail Forecast .. 11
Table: Total Household Spending (United Arab Emirates 2013-2020) 14
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % Of Total (United Arab Emirates 2013-2020) . 16
Table: Headline Retail Sector Spending (United Arab Emirates 2013-2020) 16
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % of GDP (United Arab Emirates 2013-2020) 18
Retail Sector Forecast .. 19
Food, Drink and Tobacco .. 21
Table: Food, Drink and Tobacco Spending (United Arab Emirates 2013-2020) 22
Clothing and Footwear .. 22
Table: Clothing and Footwear Spending (United Arab Emirates 2013-2020) . 23
Household Goods ... 24
Table: Household Goods Spending (United Arab Emirates 2013-2020) . 24
Personal Care ... 25
Table: Personal Care Spending (United Arab Emirates 2013-2020) 25
Household Numbers And Income Forecast ... 26
Table: Household Income Data (United Arab Emirates 2013-2020) 27
Table: Labour Market Data (United Arab Emirates 2013-2020) 29
Demographic Forecast . 29
Table: Total Population (United Arab Emirates 2013-2020) 32
Table: Population: Babies (United Arab Emirates 2013-2020) 32
Table: Population: Young Children (United Arab Emirates 2013-2020) 32
Table: Population: Children (United Arab Emirates 2013-2020) 33
Table: Population: Young Teens and Older Children (United Arab Emirates 2013-2020) 33
Table: Population: Young People (United Arab Emirates 2013-2020) 33
Table: Population: Older Teenagers (United Arab Emirates 2013-2020) . 34
Table: Population: 21yrs + (United Arab Emirates 2013-2020) . 34
Table: Population: Young Adults (United Arab Emirates 2013-2020) . 34
Table: Population: Middle Aged (United Arab Emirates 2013-2020) . 35
Table: Population: Urban (United Arab Emirates 2013-2020) 35
Industry Risk Reward Index . 36
Middle East And North Africa Risk/Reward Index .. 36
Table: Middle East And North Africa Retail Risk/Reward Index, Q316 . 36
Industry Risk/Reward Index ... 37
Rewards ... 37
Risks 38
Market Overview ... 40
Competitive Landscape 44
Clothing and Footwear .. 44
Table: Selected Clothing and Footwear Retailers 44
Household Goods/ Homeware .. 45
Table: Selected Household Goods/Homeware/Home Improvement Retailers . 45
Electronics ... 45
Table: Selected Electronics Retailers . 45
Department Stores .. 46
Table: Selected Department Stores . 46
E-commerce .. 47
Table: Selected E-commerce/Online Marketplaces 47
Pharmacies ... 48
Table: Selected Drug Store/Pharmacies 48
Glossary . 49
Methodology .. 56
Industry Forecast Methodology 56
Sources 59
Risk/Reward Index Methodology ... 59
Table: Retail Risk/Reward Index Indicators 60
Table: Weighting Of Indicators . 62

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