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  5. > Germany Oil and Gas Report Q3 2016

Germany Oil and Gas Report Q3 2016

  • July 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 74 pages

BMI View:

Domestic oil and gas production will continue to decline as weak oil prices hold back investment. Softer margins in H216 will see the refining sector struggle to improve on a strong 2015. Fuels consumption in Europe's largest market remains flat and will trend down.

The main trends and developments in Germany's oil and gas sector are:
- Refined products production remained flat y-o-y over Q116. Gasoline output increased on the back of stronger margins.
- Refined fuel demand remained flat y-o-y in Q116, with dropping gasoline consumption displaced by an uptick in diesel.
- Gas production continues its production downtrend of around 6-7% per year.
- Oil production remains surprisingly resilient with infill drilling and workovers supporting output.
- Over early 2016, five rigs were drilling new prospects, while eight were operating on workover activity. All were located onshore.
- Gas consumption increased slightly to 79.9bcm in 2015, though new demand will be limited.
- H116 gas imports were weak as purchasers await low oil prices to feed through into Russian gas contracts. We expect increased imports over H216.

Table Of Contents

Germany Oil and Gas Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View ... 7
Table: Headline Forecasts (Germany 2014-2020) 7
SWOT 8
Oil and Gas SWOT ... 8
Industry Forecast .. 10
Upstream Exploration .. 10
Latest Updates ... 10
Structural Trends ... 10
Upstream Production - Oil 12
Latest Updates ... 12
Structural Trends ... 12
Table: Oil Production (Germany 2014-2019) 14
Table: Oil Production (Germany 2020-2025) 14
Upstream Production - Gas ... 15
Latest Updates ... 15
Structural Trends ... 15
Table: Gas Production (Germany 2014-2019) . 17
Table: Gas Production (Germany 2020-2025) . 17
Refining . 18
Latest Updates ... 18
Structural Trends ... 18
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Germany 2014-2019) 21
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Germany 2020-2025) 21
Refined Fuels Consumption ... 22
Latest Updates ... 22
Structural Trends ... 22
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Germany 2014-2019) . 24
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Germany 2020-2025) . 25
Gas Consumption 26
Latest Updates ... 26
Structural Trends ... 26
Table: Gas Consumption (Germany 2014-2019) . 28
Table: Gas Consumption (Germany 2020-2025) . 28
Trade - Oil . 29
Latest Updates ... 29
Crude Oil: Structural Trends 29
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Germany 2014-2020) 30
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Germany 2020-2025) 31
Refined Fuels: Structural Trends ... 31
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Germany 2014-2019) 32
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Germany 2020-2025) 33
Trade - Gas (Pipeline and LNG) . 34
Latest Updates ... 34
Structural Trends ... 34
Table: Gas Net Exports (Germany 2014-2019) 36
Table: Gas Net Exports (Germany 2020-2025) 36
Industry Risk/Reward Index . 37
North America And Western Europe Oil and Gas Risk/Reward Index ... 37
Table: North America and Western Europe Oil and Gas Risk/Reward Index . 37
Upstream Rankings: Resource Base Will Keep North America Well Ahead 38
North America Open To Investment, At The Right Price . 38
Resource Limitations Take Toll On Western Europe . 39
Table: North America and Western Europe Upstream Risk/Reward Index 41
Downstream Rankings: US Widens Its Lead 41
Table: North America and Western Europe Downstream Risk/Reward Index . 43
Germany - Risk/Reward Index 44
Market Overview ... 45
Germany Energy Market Overview . 45
Political Regime 45
Fiscal Regime 45
Table: Germany Corporate Income Tax 46
Table: Federal State Royalty Rates . 46
Oil and Gas Infrastructure ... 47
Oil Refineries 47
Table: Germany Refineries . 47
Service Stations . 47
Oil Pipelines . 48
Table: Major Oil Pipelines . 48
Gas Pipelines 48
Table: Major Gas Pipelines 48
Gas Storage .. 49
Table: Germany Natural Gas Storage Facilities . 49
Competitive Landscape 52
Competitive Landscape Summary .. 52
Table: Major Upstream Operators - Market Share By Production, 2015 52
Table: Major Downstream Operators 52
Regional Overview 54
North America And Western Europe Oil And Gas Regional Overview 54
Table: North America - Key Regional Indicators, 2014-2025 64
Table: Western Europe - Key Regional Indicators, 2014-2025 65
Glossary . 67
Table: Glossary Of Terms 67
Methodology .. 69
Industry Forecast Methodology 69
Source . 71
Risk/Reward Index Methodology ... 71
Table: Bmi's Oil and Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index . 73
Table: Weighting . 74

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