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Brazil Retail Report Q3 2016

  • June 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 60 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: The impeachment of President Dilma Rousseff in May and the ongoing controversysurrounding it is likely to impede the government's effectiveness in tackling the economic issues that haveled to deteriorating labour and economic markets, rising inflation and reduced access to consumer credit. Asall these factors will continue weigh heavily on consumer retail spending in 2016, with total householdspending forecast to fall to its lowest figure in USD terms since 2007. Nevertheless, Brazil remains thestrongest investment market in the region, with potentially strong rewards for moderate risk.

Key Views & Developments

- We expect to see total household spending in Brazil shrink in 2016 to USD829bn or USD14,376 perhousehold, on the back of the country's ongoing economic difficulties.

- The total number of households is expected to increase to 57.6mn in 2016, recording 0.9% year-on-yeargrowth.

- Around 18.9mn of the total households will be in the USD10,000+ by the end of 2016, representing some10.9mn households.

Table Of Contents

Brazil Retail Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Headline Retail Forecast 11
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % Of Total (Brazil 2013-2020) 14
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % of GDP (Brazil 2013-2020) 15
Table: Headline Retail Sector Spending (Brazil 2013-2020) 15
Retail Sector Forecast 17
Food, Drink And Tobacco 18
Table: Food, Drink and Tobacco Spending (Brazil 2013-2020) 18
Clothing And Footwear 19
Table: Clothing and Footwear Spending (Brazil 2013-2020) 20
Household Goods 20
Table: Household Goods Spending (Brazil 2013-2020) 21
Personal Care 21
Table: Personal Care Spending (Brazil 2013-2020) 22
Household Numbers And Income Forecast 22
Table: Household Income Data (Brazil 2013-2020) 24
Table: Labour Market Data (Brazil 2013-2020) 26
Demographic Forecast 26
Table: Total Population (Brazil 2013-2020) 29
Table: Population: Babies (Brazil 2013-2020) 30
Table: Population: Young Children (Brazil 2013-2020) 30
Table: Population: Children (Brazil 2013-2020) 30
Table: Population: Young Teens and Older Children (Brazil 2013-2020) 31
Table: Population: Young People (Brazil 2013-2020) 31
Table: Population: Older Teenagers (Brazil 2013-2020) 32
Table: Population: 21yrs + (Brazil 2013-2020) 32
Table: Population: Young Adults (Brazil 2013-2020) 33
Table: Population: Middle Aged (Brazil 2013-2020) 33
Table: Population: Urban (Brazil 2013-2020) 33
Industry Risk/Reward Index 34
Latin America And The Caribbean Risk/Reward Index 34
Table: Latin America And The Caribbean Retail Risk/Reward Index, Q316 34
Brazil - Risk/Reward Index 35
Rewards 35
Risks 36
Market Overview 37
Latest Updates 37
Competitive Landscape 42
Clothing And Footwear 42
Table: Selected Clothing And Footwear Retailers 42
Household Goods 43
Table: Selected Household Goods Retailers 43
Electronics 44
Table: Selected Electronics Retailers 44
Department Stores 44
Table: Selected Department Stores 44
E-commerce 45
Table: Selected E-commerce Retailers 45
Pharmacies 46
Table: Selected Pharmacies 46
Glossary 47
Methodology 54
Industry Forecast Methodology 54
Sources 57
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 57
Table: Retail Risk/Reward Index Indicators 58
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 60

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