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Algeria Power Report 2015

  • July 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 52 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Algeria has ambitious investment programme over 2015-2024, which will be driving strong gas generation growth. Historically strong gas-fired generation growth rates are supportive of further steady capacity growth, additionally the political situation is relatively stable and Algeria brought a sizeable 460MW Biskra gas plant online ahead of schedule last year. BMI considers these to be positive signs to spur the gas capacity growth.
Algerian state-owned incumbent Sonulgaz is aiming to build nearly 28GW of new capacity by 2025.

The utility claims that 15.4GW of this capacity has already been allocated and over the next three years 14.2GW of new capacity will come online, most of which will be gas-fired. BMI has a fairly bullish view on this capacity coming online. Despite lower oil and gas prices, which are detrimental to the revenues that the Algerian state will be receiving, BMI's Country Risk team believes the Algerian GDP will 3.4% CAGR on average over 2015-2019.

As another positive sign. Sonulgaz brought the fairly sizable 460MW Biskra gasfired plant online early. BMI also believes that domestically available gas will help utilities cut the feedstock prices and make it cheaper to develop new gas-fired generation. As a result, BMI believes gasfired generation will increase over 2015-2024, sidelining renewable generation growth.

Table Of Contents

Algeria Power Report 2015
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Algeria Snapshot . 11
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Algeria 2014-2019) . . . 11
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Algeria 2019-2024) . . . 11
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector . 11
Algeria Power Forecast Scenario 12
Electricity Generation and Power Generating Capacity.12
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Algeria 2013-2018) . . . 12
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Algeria 2019-2024) . . . 13
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Algeria 2013-2018) 15
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Algeria 2019-2024) 16
Electricity Consumption.. 22
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Algeria 2013-2018) . 22
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Algeria 2019-2024) . 23
Transmission and Distribution, Imports and Exports 24
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (Algeria 2013-2018) . . . 24
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (Algeria 2019-2024) . . . 24
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Algeria 2013-2018) . 24
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Algeria 2019-2024) . 24
Industry Risk Reward Ratings .26
MENA Power RRI 26
Algeria Power Risk/Reward Ratings ..33
Rewards .. 33
Risks ...33
Market Overview 35
Key Policies And Market Structure 35
Regulation and Competition.35
Algeria Power Projects Database 37
Table: Algeria Major Projects - Power . . 37
Competitive Landscape ...38
Regional Overview ..40
MEA Power: Key Regional Themes ...40
Glossary.46
Table: Glossary Of Terms 46
Methodology..47
Industry Forecast Methodology. 47
Sources ... 50
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 50
Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators . 51
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 52

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