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Argentina Retail Report Q3 2016

  • June 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 60 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Argentina's economic activity and household consumption will contract sharply in 2016 due tohigh inflation and the deflation of the country's currency. This will particularly hamper demand forimported goods and non-essential purchases. Nonetheless, we believe that the retail market will pick upmarkedly from 2017 onwards, benefiting from returning investor confidence and an improving labourmarket.

Key Views And Developments

- Total household spending in USD terms will experience a decline of 26.4% in 2016 due to deflation ofthe Argentinean peso. While in local currency terms household spending will increase by 21.6%, thegains will be wiped out by high inflation levels, forecast at 34.6% in 2016.

- Essentials will continue to dominate overall household budgets, accounting for 65.5% of the totalspending by 2020. Food and non-alcoholic drinks will remain the largest spending category, accountingfor around 24.6% of total household spending across our forecast period.

Table Of Contents

Argentina Retail Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Retail SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Headline Retail Forecast 11
Table: Total Household Spending (Argentina 2013-2020) 13
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % Of Total (Argentina 2013-2020) 14
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % of GDP (Argentina 2013-2020) 16
Table: Headline Retail Sector Spending (Argentina 2013-2020) 17
Retail Sector Forecast 19
Food, Drink and Tobacco 21
Table: Food, Drink and Tobacco Spending (Argentina 2013-2020) 21
Clothing and Footwear 22
Table: Clothing and Footwear Spending (Argentina 2013-2020) 22
Household Goods 23
Table: Household Goods Spending (Argentina 2013-2020) 23
Personal Care and Effects 24
Table: Personal Care Spending (Argentina 2013-2020) 24
Household Numbers And Income Forecast 25
Table: Household Income Data (Argentina 2013-2020) 26
Table: Labour Market Data (Argentina 2013-2020) 29
Demographic Forecast 30
Table: Total Population (Argentina 2013-2020) 31
Table: Population: Babies (Argentina 2013-2020) 31
Table: Population: Young Children (Argentina 2013-2020) 32
Table: Population: Children (Argentina 2013-2020) 32
Table: Population: Young Teens and Older Children (Argentina 2013-2020) 32
Table: Population: Young People (Argentina 2013-2020) 33
Table: Population: Older Teenagers (Argentina 2013-2020) 33
Table: Population: 21yrs + (Argentina 2013-2020) 33
Table: Population: Young Adults (Argentina 2013-2020) 34
Table: Population: Young Adults (Argentina 2013-2020) 34
Table: Population: Middle Aged (Argentina 2013-2020) 35
Table: Population: Urban (Argentina 2013-2020) 35
Industry Risk/Reward Index 36
Latin America And The Caribbean Risk/Reward Index 36
Table: Latin America And The Caribbean Retail Risk/Reward Index, Q316 36
Argentina Risk/Reward Index 37
Rewards 37
Risks 38
Market Overview 39
Competitive Landscape 44
Clothing and Footwear 44
Table: Selected Clothing and Footwear Retailers 44
Household Goods 44
Table: Selected Household Goods Retailers 44
Electronics 45
Table: Selected Electronics Retailers 45
Department Stores 45
Table: Selected Department Stores 45
E-Commerce 45
Table: Selected Online Retailers 45
Pharmacies 46
Table: Selected Pharmacy Chains 46
Glossary 47
Methodology 54
Industry Forecast Methodology 54
Sources 57
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 57
Table: Retail Risk/Reward Index Indicators 58
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 60

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ref:plp2016

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