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Cambodia and Laos Telecommunications Report Q3 2016

  • June 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 87 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Viettel has reportedly been chosen by the government as the foreign partner for Myanmar'sfourth and final mobile operator, to be licensed by end-2016. Through a joint venture model, Viettel canreplicate its tried-and-tested developing market strategy. However, the new operator's challenges includeslowing organic mobile subscriber growth, ongoing price competition and corporate governance.Meanwhile Cambodia's mobile market has experienced significant growth in the last few years, but themomentum has come at the cost of one of the lowest ARPU levels in the Asia Pacific region. The lack ofgrowth opportunities, coupled with intense price competition and a crowded market has seen prominentcompanies exit the market. In Laos, low-value prepaid mobile services predominate, and customers havelittle incentive to upgrade to higher-value products. This makes it difficult for operators to generate ameaningful return on investment in networks and spectrum.

Latest Updates & Industry Developments

- Although mobile services in Myanmar are being extended to rural parts of the country, theemphasis is on prepaid services and this is putting downward pressure on ARPUs. The replacementof 2G networks with 3G/4G platforms will be the main development trend through to 2020 and beyond.

- Mobile subscriber growth in Cambodia and Laos has been negatively affected by operator consolidationin the former and the purging of inactive SIMs in the latter. Price competition undermines the valueof 3G networks.

- In all three markets mobile substitution acts as a disincentive for investment in wireline voice andbroadband. xDSL is the primary delivery platform as fibre is too expensive. We do not expect wirelinebroadband to become a mass-market phenomenon in any of these three markets in the medium to longterm.

Table Of Contents

Cambodia and Laos Telecommunications Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Industry SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Cambodia 11
Latest Updates 11
Structural Trends 11
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecasts (2013-2020) 14
Laos 16
Latest Updates 16
Structural Trends 16
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecasts (Laos 2013-2020) 19
Myanmar 20
Latest Updates 20
Structural Trends 20
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecasts (2013-2020) 23
Industry Risk/Reward Index 24
Asia Pacific Risk/Reward Index 24
Table: Asia Pacific Telecoms Risk/Reward Index, Q316 26
Market Overview 28
Cambodia 28
Market Drivers and Trends 28
Mobile 28
Table: Mobile Subscription Market Share, Q215 29
Wireline Voice and Broadband 32
Laos 37
Market Drivers and Trends 37
Mobile 37
Table: Mobile Market Growth 38
Table: VimpelCom Operational Data, 2013-2015 40
Wireline Voice and Broadband 40
Table: Laos Internet Subscribers (2014) 42
Myanmar 44
Market Drivers and Trends 44
Mobile 44
Table: Mobile Monthly ARPUs By Operator (MMK) 46
Wireline Voice and Broadband 47
Regulatory Development 49
Regulatory Overview 49
Laos 50
Myanmar 51
Table: Myanmar: Regulatory Bodies And Their Responsibilities 51
Myanmar Regulatory Developments 53
Competitive Landscape 54
Table: Key Players - Cambodia Telecoms Sector 54
Table: Key Players - Laos Telecoms Sector 54
Table: Key Players - Myanmar Telecoms Sector 55
Company Profiles 56
Lao Telecommunications 56
Mobitel 59
Telecom Cambodia 62
Demographic Forecast 66
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Cambodia 1990-2025) 67
Table: Key Population Ratios (Cambodia 1990-2025) 67
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Cambodia 1990-2025) 68
Table: Population By Age Group (Cambodia 1990-2025) 68
Table: Population By Age Group % (Cambodia 1990-2025) 69
Demographic Forecast 71
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Laos 1990-2025) 72
Table: Key Population Ratios (Laos 1990-2025) 72
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Laos 1990-2025) 73
Table: Population By Age Group (Laos 1990-2025) 73
Table: Population By Age Group % (Laos 1990-2025) 74
Demographic Forecast 76
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Myanmar 1990-2025) 77
Table: Key Population Ratios (Myanmar 1990-2025) 77
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Myanmar 1990-2025) 78
Table: Population By Age Group (Myanmar 1990-2025) 78
Table: Population By Age Group % (Myanmar 1990-2025) 79
Glossary 81
Table: Glossary Of Terms 81
Methodology 83
Industry Forecast Methodology 83
Sources 85
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 85
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators 86
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 87

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