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  4. > Russia Commercial Banking Report Q3 2016

Russia Commercial Banking Report Q3 2016

  • June 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 85 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI’s commercial banking forecast series covers 62 countries accounting for 80% of global GDP. Each report, researched at source, features BMI’s independent assessment and 5-year forecasts to end-2017 for the commercial banking sector in each market. Using its expertise in both country risk and financial markets analysis, BMI has created exclusive models to forecast a wealth of key variables on the commercial banking sector. Historic and forecast data are provided for the sector’s total asset and liability growth, client loans, and client deposits. Forecasts for key ratios including the loan-deposit ratio and the loan-asset ratio are also included, as well as core macro-economic forecasts. Data is presented in both local currency and US dollar terms.Each report examines key drivers of growth and future prospects, including the macroeconomic situation, the level of development and potential for growth of the banking sector, the commercial initiatives of major players, government policy and the regulatory environment.

Central to BMI’s analysis are our unique Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings. BMI’s unique country-comparative Risk-Reward Rating provides a clear, quantified, independent assessment of the opportunities and dangers of operating in each market. The methodology draws together our in-depth knowledge of competitive pressures, our comprehensive industry market forecasts, and our Country Risk team’s unrivalled analysis of economic, political and operational risks.The reports also feature profiles of leading banks, covering total assets, liabilities, client deposits, lending, bond holdings, main products and services, competitive positioning and ownership structure.

Table Of Contents

Russia Commercial Banking Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Indicators 7
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Key Ratios, January 2016 7
Table: Annual Growth Rate Projections 2015-2020 (%) 7
Table: Ranking Out Of 75 Countries Reviewed In 2016 8
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Indicators, 2013-2020 8
SWOT 9
Commercial Banking 9
Political 10
Economic 11
Operational Risk 13
Industry Forecast 15
Table: Russia Banking Sector Risk Snapshot 18
Table: CBR-Defined Systemically Important Institutions 20
Table: CBR Mandated LCR Implementation Schedule 21
Industry Risk/Reward Index 24
Emerging Europe Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index 24
Table: Emerging Europe Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index 25
Market Overview 26
Emerging Europe Commercial Banking Outlook 26
Table: Banks' Bond Portfolios, 2014 26
Table: Comparison Of Loan/Deposit and Loan/Asset and Loan/GDP Ratios, 2016 27
Table: Comparison Of Total Assets and Client Loans and Client Deposits (USDbn) 28
Table: Comparison Of USD Per Capita Deposits, 2016 29
Economic Analysis 30
Competitive Landscape 37
Market Structure 37
Protagonists 37
Table: Protagonists In Russia's Commercial Banking Sector 37
Definition Of The Commercial Banking Universe 37
List Of Banks 38
Table: Russia's 10 Largest Banks (by assets) 38
Company Profile 39
Alfa-Bank 39
Table: Stock Market Indicators 40
Table: Balance Sheet (RUBmn) 41
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 41
Table: Key Ratios (%) 41
Bank of Moscow 42
Table: Stock Market Indicators 43
Table: Balance Sheet (RUBmn) 44
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 44
Table: Key Ratios (%) 44
Gazprombank 45
Table: Stock Market Indicators 47
Table: Balance Sheet (RUBmn) 47
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 47
Table: Key Ratios (%) 48
Sberbank 49
Table: Stock Market Indicators 51
Table: Balance Sheet (RUBmn) 51
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 52
Table: Key Ratios (%) 52
VTB 53
Table: Stock Market Indicators 55
Table: Balance Sheet (RUBmn) 55
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 56
Table: Key Ratios (%) 56
Regional Overview 57
Emerging Europe Overview 57
Global Industry Overview 64
Industry Forecast 64
The Reserves Penalty 64
Mixed Results So Far 67
Not Far Enough, Or Too Far Already? 72
In The End, Negative Rates Unlikely To Become Much More Prevalent 73
Table: Negative Interest Rates - Summary 75
Demographic Forecast 76
Demographic Outlook 76
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Russia 1990-2025) 77
Table: Key Population Ratios (Russia 1990-2025) 77
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Russia 1990-2025) 78
Table: Population By Age Group (Russia 1990-2025) 78
Table: Population By Age Group % (Russia 1990-2025) 79
Methodology 81
Industry Forecast Methodology 81
Sector-Specific Methodology 82
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 83
Table: Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index Indicators 84
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 85

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