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Slovenia Commercial Banking Report Q3 2016

  • July 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 80 pages

BMI’s commercial banking forecast series covers 62 countries accounting for 80% of global GDP. Each report, researched at source, features BMI’s independent assessment and 5-year forecasts to end-2017 for the commercial banking sector in each market. Using its expertise in both country risk and financial markets analysis, BMI has created exclusive models to forecast a wealth of key variables on the commercial banking sector. Historic and forecast data are provided for the sector’s total asset and liability growth, client loans, and client deposits. Forecasts for key ratios including the loan-deposit ratio and the loan-asset ratio are also included, as well as core macro-economic forecasts. Data is presented in both local currency and US dollar terms.

Each report examines key drivers of growth and future prospects, including the macroeconomic situation, the level of development and potential for growth of the banking sector, the commercial initiatives of major players, government policy and the regulatory environment.

Central to BMI’s analysis are our unique Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings. BMI’s unique country-comparative Risk-Reward Rating provides a clear, quantified, independent assessment of the opportunities and dangers of operating in each market. The methodology draws together our in-depth knowledge of competitive pressures, our comprehensive industry market forecasts, and our Country Risk team’s unrivalled analysis of economic, political and operational risks.

The reports also feature profiles of leading banks, covering total assets, liabilities, client deposits, lending, bond holdings, main products and services, competitive positioning and ownership structure.

Table Of Contents

Slovenia Commercial Banking Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View ... 7
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Indicators 7
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Key Ratios, March 2016 7
Table: Annual Growth Rate Projections 2015-2020 (%) . 7
Table: Ranking Out Of 75 Countries Reviewed In 2016 . 8
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Indicators, 2013-2020 8
SWOT 9
Commercial Banking .. 9
Political . 11
Economic ... 12
Operational Risk . 13
Industry Forecast .. 15
Table: Slovenia - Banking Sector Risk Snapshot . 16
Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index ... 20
Emerging Europe Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index . 20
Table: Emerging Europe Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index . 21
Market Overview ... 22
Emerging Europe Commercial Banking Outlook 22
Table: Banks' Bond Portfolios, 2014 . 22
Table: Comparison Of Loan/Deposit and Loan/Asset and Loan/GDP Ratios, 2016 23
Table: Comparison Of Total Assets and Client Loans and Client Deposits (USDbn) . 24
Table: Comparison Of USD Per Capita Deposits, 2016 . 25
Economic Analysis ... 26
Table: GDP Growth Forecasts (Slovenia 2014-2025) . 28
Real GDP By Expenditure Outlook 29
Table: Private Consumption Forecasts (Slovenia 2014-2025) . 29
Table: Government Consumption Forecasts (Slovenia 2014-2025) 30
Table: Fixed Investment Forecasts (Slovenia 2014-2025) . 31
Table: Net Exports Forecasts (Slovenia 2014-2025) . 31
Competitive Landscape 32
Market Structure . 32
Protagonists .. 32
Table: Protagonists In Slovenia's Commercial Banking Sector 32
Definition Of The Commercial Banking Universe . 33
List Of Banks . 33
Table: Commercial Banks and Savings Banks In Slovenia . 33
Company Profile 34
Banka Celje 34
Table: Stock Market Indicators . 35
Table: Balance Sheet (EURmn) . 36
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) . 36
Table: Key Ratios (%) 36
Banka Koper .. 37
Table: Stock Market Indicators . 39
Table: Balance Sheet (EURmn) . 39
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) . 39
Table: Key Ratios (%) 40
Nova Kreditna Banka Maribor ... 41
Table: Stock Market Indicators . 43
Table: Balance Sheet (EURmn) . 43
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) . 43
Table: Key Ratios (%) 44
Nova Ljubljanska Banka ... 45
Table: Stock Market Indicators . 46
Table: Balance Sheet (EURmn) . 46
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) . 47
Table: Key Ratios (%) 47
SKB Banka dd Ljubljana ... 48
Table: Stock Market Indicators . 50
Table: Balance Sheet (EURmn) . 50
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) . 50
Table: Key Ratios (%) 51
Regional Overview 52
Emerging Europe Overview ... 52
Global Industry Overview .. 59
Industry Forecast 59
The Reserves Penalty .. 59
Mixed Results So Far .. 62
Not Far Enough, Or Too Far Already? ... 67
In The End, Negative Rates Unlikely To Become Much More Prevalent 68
Table: Negative Interest Rates - Summary 70
Demographic Forecast . 71
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Slovenia 1990-2025) . 72
Table: Key Population Ratios (Slovenia 1990-2025) . 72
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Slovenia 1990-2025) 73
Table: Population By Age Group (Slovenia 1990-2025) . 73
Table: Population By Age Group % (Slovenia 1990-2025) 74
Methodology .. 76
Industry Forecast Methodology 76
Sector-Specific Methodology 77
Risk/Reward Index Methodology ... 78
Table: Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index Indicators . 79
Table: Weighting Of Indicators . 80

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