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  5. > France Oil and Gas Report Q3 2016

France Oil and Gas Report Q3 2016

  • June 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 87 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: The overall level of investment in exploration and production in France remains weak and thistrend is unlikely to alter significantly without an end to political opposition to exploration of shale oil andgas resources. Plans to begin production of gas from coal bed methane by 2017 could provide a muchneededboost to domestic output, but uncertainty over the project continues. Though downstream marginshave benefited from cheaper oil prices, the long-term outlook for the refining sector in France, and inEurope more widely, remains largely pessimistic.

Latest Updates and Key Forecasts

- Political disputes continue to hold back exploration of shale gas and oil, which estimates suggest exist insufficient amounts in France to have a material impact on the weak existing outlook for reserves. Modest,but notable, investment continues toward development of France's coal-bed methane deposits, buttechnical and regulatory uncertainty persists, preventing any revision of our forecasts on the back ofactivity for now.

- Downstream capacity and production will continue to fall with the 160,000b/d La Mede refinery set to beconverted to a biofuels plant from 2017. Further refinery closures are likely as the European marketcontinues to realign to competitive pressure and falling demand. Refiners will need to further specialiseto remain competitive and to adapt to the changing conditions in the European refined fuels market.

- Energy efficiency gains, a stagnant vehicle fleet and low GDP growth underpin our forecast for continueddecline in refined fuels consumption. Demand for key fuels, such as diesel, has failed to recover despitelower prices, signalling a long trend towards lower consumption.

- Strong decreases in refining capacity and refining utilisation rates have seen, and will continue to see,falling crude oil net import requirements over the forecast period. France will remain dependent uponimports of diesel, jet fuel and other products to meet domestic demand as structural imbalances persist.The fuels trade faces increased competition from rival producers in the US and elsewhere.

Table Of Contents

France Oil and Gas Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Forecasts (France 2014-2020) 7
SWOT 9
Oil and Gas SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Upstream Exploration 11
Latest Updates 11
Structural Trends 11
Upstream Production - Oil 16
Latest Updates 16
Structural Trends 16
Table: Oil Production (France 2014-2019) 18
Table: Oil Production (France 2020-2025) 19
Upstream Production - Gas 20
Latest Updates 20
Structural Trends 20
Table: Gas Production (France 2014-2019) 23
Table: Gas Production (France 2020-2025) 23
Refining 24
Latest Updates 24
Structural Trends 24
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (France 2014-2019) 27
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (France 2020-2025) 28
Refined Fuels Consumption 29
Latest Updates 29
Structural Trends 29
Table: Refined Products Consumption (France 2014-2019) 31
Table: Refined Products Consumption (France 2020-2025) 31
Gas Consumption 32
Latest Updates 32
Structural Trends 32
Table: Gas Consumption (France 2014-2019) 34
Table: Gas Consumption (France 2020-2025) 35
Trade - Oil 36
Crude Oil Trade Forecasts 36
Latest Updates 36
Structural Trends 36
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (France 2014-2020) 37
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (France 2020-2025) 38
Refined Fuels Trade Forecast 38
Latest Updates 38
Structural Trends 38
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (France 2014-2019) 40
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (France 2020-2025) 40
Trade - Gas (Pipeline and LNG) 41
Latest Updates 41
Structural Trends 41
Table: Gas Net Exports (France 2014-2019) 44
Table: Gas Net Exports (France 2020-2025) 44
Industry Risk Reward Index 45
France - Risk/Reward Index 45
France Upstream Index - Overview 45
France Upstream Index - Rewards 45
France Upstream Index - Risks 45
France Downstream Index - Overview 46
France Downstream Index - Rewards 46
France Downstream Index - Risks 46
North America And Western Europe Oil and Gas Risk/Reward Index 47
Table: North America and Western Europe Oil and Gas Risk/Reward Index 47
Upstream Rankings: North America To Maintain The Lead 48
North America: US Unconventional Production Leads Decline 48
Western Europe Languishes In Maturing Assets 49
Table: North America and Western Europe Upstream Risk/Reward Index, out of 100 51
Downstream Rankings: US Widens Its Lead 51
Table: North America and Western Europe Downstream Risk/Reward Index 53
Market Overview 54
France Energy Market Overview 54
Regulatory Structure 54
Main Fiscal and Licensing Terms 56
Table: France Fiscal, Licensing Regime 56
Oil and Gas Infrastructure 58
Oil Refineries 58
Table: France Oil Refineries 58
Oil Storage Facilities 58
Oil Terminals and Ports 58
LNG Terminals 59
Table: France LNG Terminals 59
Gas Storage Terminals 59
Gas Pipelines 59
Latest Gas Pipeline Developments 60
Crude Oil Pipelines 61
Refined Products Pipelines 61
Competitive Landscape 62
Competitive Landscape Summary 62
Table: Key Downstream Players 63
Company Profile 64
Total 64
Company Overview 64
Latest Company Updates 64
Table: Major Downstream Assets in France 65
Table: Key Financial Data (USDmn) 65
Engie 66
Company Overview 66
Latest Company Updates 66
Table: Key Financial Data (USDmn) 67
Regional Overview 68
North America And Western Europe Oil And Gas Regional Overview 68
Table: North America - Key Regional Indicators, 2014-2025 77
Table: Western Europe - Key Regional Indicators, 2014-2025 79
Glossary 80
Table: Glossary Of Terms 80
Methodology 82
Industry Forecast Methodology 82
Source 84
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 84
Table: Bmi's Oil and Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index 86
Table: Weighting 87

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