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  4. > Peru Commercial Banking Report Q3 2016

Peru Commercial Banking Report Q3 2016

  • July 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 72 pages

BMI’s commercial banking forecast series covers 62 countries accounting for 80% of global GDP. Each report, researched at source, features BMI’s independent assessment and 5-year forecasts to end-2017 for the commercial banking sector in each market. Using its expertise in both country risk and financial markets analysis, BMI has created exclusive models to forecast a wealth of key variables on the commercial banking sector. Historic and forecast data are provided for the sector’s total asset and liability growth, client loans, and client deposits. Forecasts for key ratios including the loan-deposit ratio and the loan-asset ratio are also included, as well as core macro-economic forecasts. Data is presented in both local currency and US dollar terms.

Each report examines key drivers of growth and future prospects, including the macroeconomic situation, the level of development and potential for growth of the banking sector, the commercial initiatives of major players, government policy and the regulatory environment.

Central to BMI’s analysis are our unique Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings. BMI’s unique country-comparative Risk-Reward Rating provides a clear, quantified, independent assessment of the opportunities and dangers of operating in each market. The methodology draws together our in-depth knowledge of competitive pressures, our comprehensive industry market forecasts, and our Country Risk team’s unrivalled analysis of economic, political and operational risks.

The reports also feature profiles of leading banks, covering total assets, liabilities, client deposits, lending, bond holdings, main products and services, competitive positioning and ownership structure.

Table Of Contents

Peru Commercial Banking Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View ... 7
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Indicators . 7
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Key Ratios, March 2016 7
Table: Annual Growth Rate Projections 2015-2020 (%) . 7
Table: Ranking Out Of 75 Countries Reviewed In 2016 . 8
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Indicators, 2013-2020 . 8
SWOT 9
Commercial Banking .. 9
Political . 11
Economic ... 12
Operational Risk . 13
Industry Forecast .. 15
Table: Peru - Commercial Banking Sector Forecasts 15
Commercial Banking Risk Reward Ratings 21
Latin America Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index .. 21
Table: Latin America Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index . 22
Market Overview ... 23
Economic Analysis ... 23
Latin America Commercial Banking Outlook 26
Table: Banks' Bond Portfolios, 2015 . 26
Table: Comparison of Loan/Deposit and Loan/Asset and Loan/GDP Ratios, 2016 . 26
Table: Comparison of Total Assets and Client Loans and Client Deposits (USDbn) 27
Table: Comparison of USD Per Capita Deposits, 2016 27
Competitive Landscape 28
Market Structure . 28
Protagonists .. 28
Table: Protagonists In Peru's Commercial Banking Sector . 28
Definition Of The Commercial Banking Universe 28
List Of Banks . 29
Table: Commercial Banks Operating in Peru 29
Company Profile 30
Banco de Credito del Perú 30
Table: Stock Market Indicators . 31
Table: Balance Sheet (PENmn) . 32
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) . 32
Table: Key Ratios (%) 32
Banco Interamericano de Finanzas . 33
Table: Stock Market Indicators . 34
Table: Balance Sheet (PENmn) . 34
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) . 35
Table: Key Ratios (%) 35
BBVA Continental ... 36
Table: Stock Market Indicators . 37
Table: Balance Sheet (PENmn) . 38
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) . 38
Table: Key Ratios (%) 38
Interbank ... 39
Table: Stock Market Indicators . 40
Table: Balance Sheet (PENmn) . 40
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) . 41
Table: Key Ratios (%) 41
Scotiabank Perú .. 42
Table: Stock Market Indicators . 43
Table: Balance Sheet (PENmn) . 44
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) . 44
Table: Key Ratios (%) 44
Regional Overview 45
Industry Forecast 45
Global Industry Overview .. 51
Industry Forecast 51
The Reserves Penalty .. 51
Mixed Results So Far .. 54
Not Far Enough, Or Too Far Already? ... 59
In The End, Negative Rates Unlikely To Become Much More Prevalent 60
Table: Negative Interest Rates - Summary 62
Demographic Forecast . 63
Demographic Outlook .. 63
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Peru 1990-2025) . 64
Table: Key Population Ratios (Peru 1990-2025) . 64
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Peru 1990-2025) 65
Table: Population By Age Group (Peru 1990-2025) . 65
Table: Population By Age Group % (Peru 1990-2025) 66
Methodology .. 68
Industry Forecast Methodology 68
Sector-Specific Methodology 69
Risk/Reward Index Methodology ... 70
Table: Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index Indicators . 71
Table: Weighting Of Indicators . 72

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