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Caribbean Telecommunications Report Q3 2016

  • July 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 191 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Increasing competition in the Caribbean telecoms markets has potential to enhance innovationand improve customer choice. The announcement in May 2016 that Jamaica had launched a third mobileoperator, increases the prospects of competition in that market. Jamaica's mobile market is currently aduopoly between Digicel and LIME. Although the arrival of a third mobile operator would help to shake upthe Trinidad & Tobago mobile market, we still expect the process to take years to play out, as licence feesare agreed, spectrum allocated, networks deployed and services launched. Haiti and Cuba represent thelargest organic growth opportunities in the region, as both are significantly underdeveloped compared totheir peers. However, the risks associated with business in these two markets mean that a mobilesubscription boom is far from likely.

Key Data

- Cayman Islands has the highest mobile penetration, at 153.4% in 2015, while Cuba's penetration rateremains below the regional average, at 28.9%. Haiti and Cuba will both be excellent growth markets overthe course of our forecast period.

- In May 2016 it was announced that Jamaica would get a new mobile operator to challenge the marketduopoly of Digicel and Flow. Jamaica's mobile customer base is expected to grow to almost 3.57mnmobile customers by 2020.

- In March 2016 Trinidad & Tobago ISP Massy Communications (Massy) launched fibre-to-the-home(FTTH) and IPTV services. Competition is heating in Trinidad & Tobago's pay-TV sector as Massy andDigicel scale up to effectively compete with legacy players.

Table Of Contents

Caribbean Telecommunications Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 9
SWOT 11
Industry Forecast 13
Bahamas 13
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecasts (Bahamas 2013-2020) 13
Barbados 16
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecasts (Barbados 2013-2020) 16
Bermuda 18
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecasts (Bermuda 2013-2020) 18
Cayman Islands 20
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecasts (Cayman Islands 2013-2020) 20
Cuba 22
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecasts (Cuba 2013-2020) 22
Dominican Republic 25
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecasts (Dominican Republic 2013-2020) 26
Haiti 27
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecasts (Haiti 2013-2020) 28
Jamaica 29
Recent Updates 29
Structural Trends 29
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecasts (Jamaica 2013-2020) 31
Puerto Rico 32
Recent Updates 32
Structural Trends 32
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecasts (Puerto Rico 2013-2020) 34
Trinidad and Tobago 35
Recent Updates 35
Structural Trends 35
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecasts (Trinidad and Tobago 2013-2020) 37
Telecoms Risk/Reward Index 38
Latin America Risk/Reward Index 38
Table: Latin America - Telecoms Risk/Reward Index, Q3 2016 40
Market Overview 42
Bahamas 42
Market Drivers And Trends 42
Mobile 42
Table: Bahamas Mobile Market, December 2015 45
Broadband And Wireline 45
Pay-TV 48
Barbados 49
Market Drivers And Trends 49
Mobile 49
Wireline Voice And Broadband 51
Table: Barbados Mobile Market, December 2015 Estimate 51
Pay TV 53
Bermuda 55
Market Drivers And Trends 55
Mobile 55
Wireline Voice And Broadband 60
Cayman Islands 65
Market Drivers And Trends 65
Mobile 65
Wireline Voice And Broadband 68
Cuba 72
Market Trends And Drivers 72
Mobile 72
Table: Cuban Mobile Market, December 2015 BMI Estimates 77
Wireline Voice And Broadband 78
Dominican Republic 83
Market Drivers And Trends 83
Mobile 83
Wireline Voice And Broadband 86
Table: Broadband Subscriptions By Technology, Q315 88
Pay-TV/Convergence 89
Haiti 91
Market Drivers And Trends 91
Mobile 91
Wireline Voice And Broadband 94
Jamaica 97
Market Drivers And Trends 97
Mobile 98
Wireline Voice and Broadband 102
Puerto Rico 106
Market Drivers And Trends 106
Mobile 106
Wireline Voice and Broadband 109
Pay-TV/Convergence 111
Trinidad and Tobago 114
Market Drivers And Trends 114
Mobile 114
Wireline Voice and Broadband 118
Table: Trinidad and Tobago - Fixed Internet Market, Q313-Q415 120
Pay TV and Convergence 120
Regulatory Development 122
Table: Caribbean Telecoms Regulators 122
Bahamas 123
Barbados 124
Bermuda 124
Cayman Islands 125
Cuba 126
Dominican Republic 127
Haiti 128
Jamaica 129
Puerto Rico 131
Trinidad and Tobago 131
Competitive Landscape 133
Table: Key Players - Caribbean Telecoms Sector 133
Company Profile 135
Digicel 135
Flow (Cable and Wireless Communications) 140
Demographic Forecast 145
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Barbados 1990-2025) 146
Table: Key Population Ratios (Barbados 1990-2025) 146
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Barbados 1990-2025) 147
Table: Population By Age Group (Barbados 1990-2025) 147
Table: Population By Age Group % (Barbados 1990-2025) 148
Demographic Forecast 150
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Bahamas 1990-2025) 151
Table: Key Population Ratios (Bahamas 1990-2025) 151
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Bahamas 1990-2025) 152
Table: Population By Age Group (Bahamas 1990-2025) 152
Table: Population By Age Group % (Bahamas 1990-2025) 153
Demographic Forecast 155
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Cuba 1990-2025) 156
Table: Key Population Ratios (Cuba 1990-2025) 156
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Cuba 1990-2025) 157
Table: Population By Age Group (Cuba 1990-2025) 157
Table: Population By Age Group % (Cuba 1990-2025) 158
Demographic Forecast 160
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Dominican Republic 1990-2025) 161
Table: Key Population Ratios (Dominican Republic 1990-2025) 161
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Dominican Republic 1990-2025) 162
Table: Population By Age Group (Dominican Republic 1990-2025) 162
Table: Population By Age Group % (Dominican Republic 1990-2025) 163
Demographic Forecast 165
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Haiti 1990-2025) 166
Table: Key Population Ratios (Haiti 1990-2025) 166
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Haiti 1990-2025) 167
Table: Population By Age Group (Haiti 1990-2025) 167
Table: Population By Age Group % (Haiti 1990-2025) 168
Demographic Forecast 170
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Jamaica 1990-2025) 171
Table: Key Population Ratios (Jamaica 1990-2025) 171
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Jamaica 1990-2025) 172
Table: Population By Age Group (Jamaica 1990-2025) 172
Table: Population By Age Group % (Jamaica 1990-2025) 173
Demographic Forecast 175
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Puerto Rico 1990-2025) 176
Table: Key Population Ratios (Puerto Rico 1990-2025) 176
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Puerto Rico 1990-2025) 177
Table: Population By Age Group (Puerto Rico 1990-2025) 177
Table: Population By Age Group % (Puerto Rico 1990-2025) 178
Demographic Forecast 180
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Trinidad and Tobago 1990-2025) 181
Table: Key Population Ratios (Trinidad and Tobago 1990-2025) 181
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Trinidad and Tobago 1990-2025) 182
Table: Population By Age Group (Trinidad and Tobago 1990-2025) 182
Table: Population By Age Group % (Trinidad and Tobago 1990-2025) 183
Glossary 185
Table: Glossary Of Terms 185
Methodology 187
Industry Forecast Methodology 187
Sources 189
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 189
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators 190
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 191

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