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Central America Telecommunications Report Q3 2014

  • May 2014
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 111 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates
BMI View: Guatemala and Costa Rica stand out in our Risk/Reward scores for the Q314 as being the two most attractive countries in the Central America region. Both took further steps forward to solidify this position in the previous quarter with mobile operators preparing for the launch of 4G LTE services. Costa Rica in particular will likely see the most success from the launch of this technology given the high consumer spending power and the uptake in 3G and smartphones which have reached around 50%. Other markets in the region are becoming more attractive such as Nicaragua, which is likely to see the addition of two new players in the telecoms market this year, Chinese company Xinwei (mobile) and Costa Rica's ICE (internet). Government interference still looms over the region, evidenced by the financial woes of Honduras state-owned company Hondutel. As growth begins to slow down in the region, governments are interested in boosting competitiveness by adding new players and divesting themselves of their state-owned entities. BMI expects development in these markets to remain slow until this takes place.

Key Data
- According to the latest SIT figures, at the end of 2013, there were 21.716mn mobile subscribers in Guatemala. Tigo continues to lead the prepaid market with its 9.942mn prepaid customers, equalling a 48.2% market share. Claro was in second with 6.138mn (29.7%) and Movistar had 4.551mn (22.1%). However, the postpaid segment shows a different mix, however, with Claro ahead totalling 413,098 users for a 38.1% market share, followed by Tigo with 357,644 (33%) and Movistar with 312,905 lines (28.9%).About 8,800 mobile users in Panama are using the mobile number portability (MNP) system monthly. More than 50% of users interested in porting their number look for a better tariff plan or enhanced mobile services. More than 211,987 numbers have been ported since the launch of MNP in December 2011. The country ended December 2013 with more than 6.2mn active mobile lines.

Table Of Contents

Central America Telecommunications Report Q3 2014
BMI Industry View . 7
SWOT .. 9
Industry Forecast 11
Belize ... 11
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecasts (Belize 2011-2018) . . . 11
Costa Rica . 13
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecasts (Costa Rica 2011-2018) . . 13
El Salvador 15
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecasts (El Salvador 2011-2018) . 15
Guatemala . 17
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecasts (Guatemala 2011-2018) . . 17
Honduras ... 19
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecasts (Honduras 2011-2018) . . . 19
Nicaragua .. 21
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecasts (Nicaragua 2011-2018) . . 21
Panama 23
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecasts (Panama 2011-2018) . 23
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 25
Table: Latin America Risk/Reward Ratings, Q314 . 28
Market Overview . 30
Belize ... 30
Mobile 30
Table: Belize Telemedia Ltd Subscribers ('000) . . . 31
Table: Belize - Mobile Market, December 2013 33
Fixed Line 33
Broadband 34
Industry Trends and Developments 35
Costa Rica . 36
Mobile 36
Table: Mobile Market, December 2013 42
Fixed Line 42
Broadband 44
Table: Fixed Internet Market Share, 2012 . . 45
Industry Trends and Developments 45
El Salvador 46
Mobile 46
Table: Mobile Market, December 2013 48
Fixed Line 52
Broadband 53
Industry Trends And Developments ... 53
Guatemala . 54
Mobile 54
Table: Mobile Market, December 2013 57
Fixed Line 57
Table: Guatemala's Fixed-Line Market, December 2013 . . 58
Broadband 58
Industry Trends And Developments ... 59
Honduras ... 60
Mobile 60
Table: Mobile Market, December 2013 64
Fixed Line 65
Table: Fixed Lines In Service, 2010-2011 ('000) . . . 65
Table: Telecoms Usage, Minutes, 2002-2010 (mn) . 66
Broadband 66
Table: Internet Market 2005-2010 . . 67
Industry Trends And Developments ... 67
Nicaragua .. 68
Mobile 68
Table: Mobile Market, December 2013 72
Fixed Line 72
Broadband 73
Table: Internet Market Share (%) . . 75
Industry Trends And Developments ... 75
Panama 76
Mobile 76
Table: Mobile Market, December 2013 80
Fixed Line 80
Table: Fixed-Line Market, 2007-2013 ('000) . . . 81
Broadband 82
Regulatory Development ... 85
Table: Central America's Telecoms Regulators . . . 85
Belize .. 85
Table: Belize Termination Rates, August 2011 . 85
Costa Rica 86
El Salvador .... 87
Guatemala 88
Honduras . 88
Nicaragua 89
Panama .... 89
Company Profile .. 91
Millicom International Cellular .... 91
America Móvil . 95
Regional Overview . 100
Internexa: Pan-American Fibre Network Keeps Content Local . 100
Glossary ... 105
Table: Glossary Of Terms . 105
Methodology . 107
Industry Forecast Methodology 107
Sources .. 108
Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology . 109
Table: Risk/Reward Ratings Indicators 110
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 111

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