Central America Telecommunications Industry Update Quarter 3 2012

  • May 2014
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 111 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI's Q312 Central America Telecommunications report analyses and assesses the latest developments in the telecoms industry s of seven countries: Belize, Costa Rica, Guatemala, El Salvador, Honduras, Nicaragua and Panama. In addition to containing new mobile subscriber figures for the fourth quarter of 2011, the report contains revised five-year growth projections that chart how the country’s different telecommunications segments are likely to develop.
Following last quarter’s additional 3G mobile subscriber projections and data for the period from 2009 to 2016, Our Q312 report has undergone changes to its structural layout. The new report now lists industry data and projections by country, rather than by subsector. The new report will be easier to navigate and will facilitate the location of valuable data quickly.
The Costa Rican mobile industry has been grow ing quickly following the entrance of Claro and Movistar in Q411. By March 2012, Claro and Movistar boasted 300,000 and 200,000 subscriptions respectively, up from 100,000 and 104,000 at the end of December 2012. However, network roll-out by Claro and Movistar has been hindered by delays and the operators have requested an extension on the deadline of launching services in some areas. They are facing difficulties in obtaining the necessary permits to install radio bases in certain municipalities. According to the network development plan, the first stage deadline is July 14 2012, but it is unlikely that the operators will reach this. Municipal law does not have specific guidelines over the installation of radio bases, and the delays are the result of this.
In February 2012, Belize Telemedia Limited (BTL) and Swedish equipment vendor Ericsson signed a 4G infrastructure contract for Belize. The operator has unveiled that an upgrade is scheduled for its 850MHz/1,900MHz DigiCell GSM network within the coming months. Following the upgrade, subscribers are expected to gain access to data speeds approximately 10 times faster than the current data speeds. The operator has not revealed the technology behind the network.
Guatemala’s mobile industry hit 18.4mn in Q411. Prepaid subscribers account for 17.4mn users of the total base. Domestic operator Tigo Guatemala led the industry with 38.8% of subscriptions at end-2011, followed by Claro and Movistar. The mobile industry has witnessed a 553% jump in the last seven years from 3.1mn subscribers in 2004, added the regulator. The country jumped into the lead in our Q312 Risk/Reward Ratings, on the back of new tax data that caused large increases in our Market Rewards score.
In Honduras, troubled incumbent Hondutel got a boost when it was revealed in January that Laticom International plans to invest around US Dollar 10mn in the firm . The investment is part of the US Dollar 50.5mn amount pledged by Laticom to spend in upgrading the operator's data transport network. The investment will be directed to deploy more than 50,000 ADSL lines and enhance Hondutel's value-added services (VAS) portfolio.
There has been some movement in BMI projections this quarter, as more data are released from a number of operators and regulators. The fixed-line industry continues to decline in many of our Central American industry s as mobile becomes the more popular technology. 3G is also on the rise, and we expect connections to grow strongly across the region through to 2016.

Table Of Contents

Executive Summary .. 5
Industry SWOT Analysis 7
Central America Telecommunications SWOT .. 7
Risk/Reward Ratings . 8
Latin America Risk Reward Ratings . 8
Data : Q312 Risk/ Reward Ratings . 11
Central America 11
Belize . 14
Data : Belize Telecoms - Historical Data and Projections 14
Costa Rica.... 15
Data : Costa Rica Telecoms - Historical Data and Projections .. 15
El Salvador .. 17
Data : El Salvador Telecoms - Historical Data and Projections . 17
Guatemala ... 18
Data : Guatemala Telecoms - Historical Data and Projections .. 18
Honduras 20
Data : Honduras Telecoms - Historical Data and Projections .... 20
Nicaragua .... 21
Data : Nicaragua Telecoms - Historical Data and Projections ... 21
Panama ... 23
Data : Panama Telecoms - Historical Data and Projections .. 23
Market Data Analysis ... 25
Mobile 25
Data : Belize - Mobile Industry, December 2011 . 27
Fixed Line .... 27
Broadband ... 28
Costa Rica.... 29
Mobile 29
Fixed Line .... 31
Broadband ... 33
El Salvador .. 35
Mobile 35
Data : El Salvador - Mobile Industry, December 2011 .. 38
Fixed Line .... 38
Broadband ... 39
Guatemala ... 40
Mobile 40
Fixed Line .... 42
Broadband ... 43
Honduras 44
Mobile 44
Fixed Line .... 47
Broadband ... 51
Nicaragua .... 52
Mobile 52
Fixed-Line.... 54
Broadband ... 55
Panama ... 57
Mobile 57
Fixed Line .... 60
Broadband ... 61
3G Regional . 63
Mobile Contract Wins . 64
Data : Mobile Contract Wins 64
Regulatory Developments 65
Regulatory Environment And Market Developments ... 65
Data : Central America's Telecoms Regulators .. 65
Belize . 65
Costa Rica ... 66
El Salvador .. 67
Guatemala ... 69
Honduras 70
Nicaragua .... 71
Panama ... 73
Company Monitor .... 75
Alcatel-Lucent, Selected Latin America Contracts, Q411 And Q112 78
Company Profiles .... 79

Industry Analysis . 85
Mobile 85
Data : Regional Mobile Penetration Overview ... 85
Fixed Line .... 86
Data : Regional Fixed-Line Penetration Overview .. 86
Broadband ... 87
Data : Regional Broadband Penetration Overview . 87
Glossary Of Terms .. 88
Data : Glossary Of Terms 88
BMI Methodology .... 89
How We Generate Our Market Projections .... 89
Data : Key Indicators For Telecommunications Market Projections . 89
Telecoms Business Environment Ratings .. 91
Data : Ratings Indicators 92
Weighting 93
Data : Weighting Of Indicators . 93
Sources ... 93

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