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  4. > Egypt Commercial Banking Report Q3 2016

Egypt Commercial Banking Report Q3 2016

  • June 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 79 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI’s commercial banking forecast series covers 62 countries accounting for 80% of global GDP. Each report, researched at source, features BMI’s independent assessment and 5-year forecasts to end-2017 for the commercial banking sector in each market. Using its expertise in both country risk and financial markets analysis, BMI has created exclusive models to forecast a wealth of key variables on the commercial banking sector. Historic and forecast data are provided for the sector’s total asset and liability growth, client loans, and client deposits. Forecasts for key ratios including the loan-deposit ratio and the loan-asset ratio are also included, as well as core macro-economic forecasts. Data is presented in both local currency and US dollar terms.Each report examines key drivers of growth and future prospects, including the macroeconomic situation, the level of development and potential for growth of the banking sector, the commercial initiatives of major players, government policy and the regulatory environment.

Central to BMI’s analysis are our unique Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings. BMI’s unique country-comparative Risk-Reward Rating provides a clear, quantified, independent assessment of the opportunities and dangers of operating in each market. The methodology draws together our in-depth knowledge of competitive pressures, our comprehensive industry market forecasts, and our Country Risk team’s unrivalled analysis of economic, political and operational risks.The reports also feature profiles of leading banks, covering total assets, liabilities, client deposits, lending, bond holdings, main products and services, competitive positioning and ownership structure.

Table Of Contents

Egypt Commercial Banking Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Indicators 7
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Key Ratios, January 2016 7
Table: Annual Growth Rate Projections 2015-2020 (%) 7
Table: Ranking Out Of 75 Countries Reviewed In 2016 8
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Indicators, 2013-2020 8
SWOT 9
Commercial Banking 9
Political 11
Economic 12
Operational Risk 14
Industry Forecast 16
Economic Analysis 16
Dollarisation A Key Concern 17
NPLs To Stay Elevated 19
Table: Egypt - Banking Sector Risk Snapshot 20
Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index 21
Middle East and Africa Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index 21
Table: Middle East and Africa Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index 22
Market Overview 23
Middle East and Africa Commercial Banking Outlook 23
Table: Banks' Bond Portfolios, 2014 23
Table: Comparison Of Loan/Deposit, Loan/Asset And Loan/GDP Ratios, 2016 24
Table: Comparison Of Total Assets, Client Loans And Client Deposits (USDbn) 25
Table: Comparison Of USD Per Capita Deposits, 2016 26
Macroeconomic Forecasts 27
Impediments To Growth Remain 29
Tourism Sector Badly Hit 30
Gas Exports To Support Long-Term Growth 31
Competitive Landscape 33
Market Structure 33
Protagonists 33
Table: Protagonists In Egypt's Commercial Banking Sector 33
Definition Of The Commercial Banking Universe 33
List Of Banks 34
Table: Public Sector Banks 34
Table: Private And Joint Venture Banks 34
Table: Branches Of Foreign Banks 35
Company Profile 36
Bank of Alexandria 36
Table: Stock Market Indicators 38
Table: Balance Sheet (EGPmn) 39
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 39
Table: Key Ratios (%) 39
Banque du Caire 40
Banque Misr 42
Table: Stock Market Indicators 44
Table: Balance Sheet (EGPmn) 44
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 44
Table: Key Ratios (%) 45
Egyptian Arab Land Bank 46
National Bank of Egypt 48
Table: Stock Market Indicators 50
Table: Balance Sheet (EGPmn) 51
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 51
Table: Key Ratios (%) 51
Regional Overview 52
Middle East Overview 52
Iran Offers Opportunities 56
Global Industry Overview 58
Industry Forecast 58
The Reserves Penalty 58
Mixed Results So Far 61
Not Far Enough, Or Too Far Already? 66
In The End, Negative Rates Unlikely To Become Much More Prevalent 67
Table: Negative Interest Rates - Summary 69
Demographic Forecast 70
Demographic Outlook 70
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Egypt 1990-2025) 71
Table: Key Population Ratios (Egypt 1990-2025) 71
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Egypt 1990-2025) 72
Table: Population By Age Group (Egypt 1990-2025) 72
Table: Population By Age Group % (Egypt 1990-2025) 73
Methodology 75
Industry Forecast Methodology 75
Sector-Specific Methodology 76
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 77
Table: Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index Indicators 78
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 79

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