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  4. > Germany Commercial Banking Report Q3 2016

Germany Commercial Banking Report Q3 2016

  • June 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 79 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI’s commercial banking forecast series covers 62 countries accounting for 80% of global GDP. Each report, researched at source, features BMI’s independent assessment and 5-year forecasts to end-2017 for the commercial banking sector in each market. Using its expertise in both country risk and financial markets analysis, BMI has created exclusive models to forecast a wealth of key variables on the commercial banking sector. Historic and forecast data are provided for the sector’s total asset and liability growth, client loans, and client deposits. Forecasts for key ratios including the loan-deposit ratio and the loan-asset ratio are also included, as well as core macro-economic forecasts. Data is presented in both local currency and US dollar terms.Each report examines key drivers of growth and future prospects, including the macroeconomic situation, the level of development and potential for growth of the banking sector, the commercial initiatives of major players, government policy and the regulatory environment.

Central to BMI’s analysis are our unique Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings. BMI’s unique country-comparative Risk-Reward Rating provides a clear, quantified, independent assessment of the opportunities and dangers of operating in each market. The methodology draws together our in-depth knowledge of competitive pressures, our comprehensive industry market forecasts, and our Country Risk team’s unrivalled analysis of economic, political and operational risks.The reports also feature profiles of leading banks, covering total assets, liabilities, client deposits, lending, bond holdings, main products and services, competitive positioning and ownership structure.

Table Of Contents

Germany Commercial Banking Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Indicators 7
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Key Ratios, March 2016 7
Table: Annual Growth Rate Projections 2015-2020 (%) 7
Table: Ranking Out Of 73 Countries Reviewed In 2016 8
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Indicators, 2013-2020 8
SWOT 9
Commercial Banking 9
Political 10
Economic 11
Operational Risk 12
Industry Forecast 13
Banking Sector Risk Components 17
Table: Germany - Banking Sector Risk Snapshot 18
Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index 20
Developed States Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index 20
Table: Developed States Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index 21
Market Overview 22
Developed States Commercial Banking Outlook 22
Table: Banks' Bond Portfolios, 2014 22
Table: Comparison of Loan/Deposit and Loan/Asset and Loan/GDP Ratios, 2016 22
Table: Comparison of Total Assets and Client Loans and Client Deposits (USDbn) 23
Table: Comparison of USD Per Capita Deposits, 2016 24
Economic Analysis 25
Table: Germany - Economic Dashboard 32
Competitive Landscape 34
Market Structure 34
Protagonists 34
Table: Protagonists In Germany's Commercial Banking Sector 34
Definition Of The Commercial Banking Universe 34
List Of Banks 35
Table: Top 30 Banks By Assets 35
Company Profile 36
Commerzbank 36
Table: Stock Market Indicators 38
Table: Balance Sheet (EURmn) 39
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 39
Table: Key Ratios (%) 39
Deutsche Bank 40
Table: Stock Market Indicators 43
Table: Balance Sheet (EURmn) 43
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 43
Table: Key Ratios (%) 44
DZ Bank 45
Table: Stock Market Indicators 47
Table: Balance Sheet (EURmn) 47
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 48
Table: Key Ratios (%) 48
HypoVereinsbank 49
Table: Balance Sheet (EURmn) 51
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 51
Table: Key Ratios (%) 51
KfW 52
Table: Balance Sheet (EURmn) 54
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 54
Table: Key Ratios (%) 54
Regional Overview 55
Economic Analysis 55
Global Industry Overview 58
Industry Forecast 58
The Reserves Penalty 58
Mixed Results So Far 61
Not Far Enough, Or Too Far Already? 66
In The End, Negative Rates Unlikely To Become Much More Prevalent 67
Table: Negative Interest Rates - Summary 69
Demographic Forecast 70
Demographic Outlook 70
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Germany 1990-2025) 71
Table: Key Population Ratios (Germany 1990-2025) 71
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Germany 1990-2025) 72
Table: Population By Age Group (Germany 1990-2025) 72
Table: Population By Age Group % (Germany 1990-2025) 73
Methodology 75
Industry Forecast Methodology 75
Sector-Specific Methodology 76
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 77
Table: Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index Indicators 78
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 79

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