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Saudi Arabia Freight Transport Report Q3 2015

  • June 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 66 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: The outlook for the Saudi Arabian freight transport sector in 2015 is positive and we forecast robust growth across all freight modes. Rail freight in particular will perform well as the country ramps up its mineral exports, utilising newly developed freight lines like the North-South Railway. Despite the fall in the oil price through the end of 2014 we expect that the economy will continue to grow, driven in large part by private consumption. As a result, demand for containerised goods imports will be strong, boosting box throughput at container ports and intermodal volumes on the roads.
Real growth in Saudi Arabia's total trade will be steady rather than spectacular in 2015 and over our medium-term forecast period to 2019. We forecast a 3.3% expansion this year, followed by 2.7% next year, and project an average rate of 2.5% annually over the next five years. This growth will be overwhelmingly driven by a real expansion in real imports, as opposed to exports. In 2015, we forecast that imports will increase by 5.5% to exports' 1.1%.

Table Of Contents

Saudi Arabia Freight Transport Report Q3 2015
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Freight Transport 9
Political 10
Economic 12
Operational Risk 13
Industry Forecast 15
Trade Forecast 15
Table: Trade Overview (Saudi Arabia 2012-2019) 17
Table: Key Trade Indicators (Saudi Arabia 2012-2019) 17
Table: Main Import Partners 19
Table: Main Export Partners 19
Road Freight Forecast 20
Table: Road Freight (Saudi Arabia 2012-2019) 23
Rail Freight Forecast 23
Table: Rail Freight (Saudi Arabia 2012-2019) 26
Air Freight Forecast 26
Table: Air Freight (Saudi Arabia 2012-2019) 29
Company Profile 30
Saudi Airlines Cargo (Saudia) 30
Political Outlook 33
Domestic Politics 33
Foreign Policy 36
Table: Yemen - Summary Of Political Situation 37
Long-Term Political Outlook 39
Table: Saudi Arabia - Political Overview 46
Oil Price Outlook 47
Global - Crude Oil, Refined Fuels And Natural Gas Prices, 10-year Forecasts 47
Table: Energy Price Forecasts, 2013-2018 47
Table: Energy Price Forecasts, 2019-2024 ( Global 2019-2024) 48
Macroeconomic Forecasts 50
Economic Analysis 50
Demographic Forecast 58
Demographic Outlook 58
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Saudi Arabia 1990-2025) 59
Table: Key Population Ratios (Saudi Arabia 1990-2025) 59
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Saudi Arabia 1990-2025) 60
Table: Population By Age Group (Saudi Arabia 1990-2025) 60
Table: Population By Age Group % (Saudi Arabia 1990-2025) 61
Methodology 63
Industry Forecast Methodology 63
Sector-Specific Methodology 64
Sources 66

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