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  3. > North Africa Telecommunications Report Q3 2014

North Africa Telecommunications Report Q3 2014

  • July 2014
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 119 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View:
Other than Libya, which continues to feel the effects of the 2011 civil war, competition is strong in North Africa's mobile markets. While there remains some growth potential in the region's mobile markets, BMI believes mobile data and increased liberalisation in the wireline segment will be the major drivers of growth throughout our forecast period to 2018. Morocco's regulator has given incumbent Maroc Télécom until August to implement local loop unbundling, Algérie Télécom has reduced the price of broadband services to respond to the launch of 3G services in H114 and Tunisie Télécom has ramped up investment in its wireline and mobile data networks. Meanwhile, Etisalat has completed its acquisition of a 53% stake in Maroc Télécom. BMI expects these developments to result in an acceleration of convergence strategies, as operators look beyond the mobile voice market for revenue and subscriptions growth.

Key Data

- Data from the ARPT showed there were 3.5mn mobile subscriptions in Algeria at the end of 2013, around 200,000 higher than BMI's estimate owing to strong growth in state-owned Mobilis' network. We forecast this will rise to 40.7mn in 2014. 3G growth will be fairly limited in 2014, as licences were only offered at the end of 2013.

Table Of Contents

North Africa Telecommunications Report Q3 2014
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT .. 9
SWOT .. 11
Industry Forecast .. 13
Algeria . 13
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecasts (Algeria 2011-2018) . . 13
Libya . 16
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecasts (Libya 2011-2018) 16
Morocco .. 17
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecasts (Morocco 2011-2018) 17
Tunisia . 20
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecasts (Tunisia 2011-2018) . . 20
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 23
Middle East and North Africa Risk/Rewards Ratings .. 23
Table: MENA Telecoms Risks/rewards ratings, Q314 . 26
Market Overview 27
Algeria . 27
Key Developments 27
Mobile 27
Table: Algeria Mobile Market, Q114 . 31
Table: Algeria - Mobile Blended ARPUs, 2012-2014 (USD) 32
3G 32
Table: Algeria Exclusive 3G Province Groupings 34
Mobile Operator Data . 34
Table: Mobilis . 34
Table: Djezzy . . 35
Table: Ooredoo . . 36
Fixed Line . 37
Table: Growth Of Fixed Lines By Technology, 2003-2011 ('000) . . 37
Broadband . 38
Government Broadband Plans 39
Libya . 41
Key Developments 41
Mobile 42
Table: Libya Mobile Market, December 2013 43
A Third Operator . 43
Fixed Line . 45
Broadband . 46
Morocco .. 47
Key Developments 47
Mobile 47
Table: Morocco Mobile Market, Q413 . . 51
3G 52
Mobile Operator Data . 55
Table: Maroc Telecom . 55
Table: Meditel . 56
Table: Wana . . 56
Fixed Line . 56
Table: Fixed-Line Market, 2012-2014 58
Broadband . 59
Tunisia . 62
Key Developments 62
Mobile 62
Table: Tunisia - Mobile Market, Q114 . . 65
Mobile Operator Data . 68
Table: Tunisie Telecom 68
Table: Ooredoo . . 68
Table: Orange Tunisia . 69
Fixed Line . 69
Table: Fixed-Line Market, 2011-2013 71
Broadband . 71
Table: Tunisian Internet Market, 2011-2013 . . 72
Middle East and North Africa Mobile Content .. 74
Regulatory Development .. 78
Table: North African Regulatory Environment . . 78
Algeria 78
Table: Key Developments . 80
Libya .. 80
Morocco . 82
Table: Key Developments . 83
Tunisia 84
Competitive Landscape . 85
Table: Key Players - North Africa Telecoms Sector . 85
Company Profile . 86
Algerie Telecom . 86
Maroc Telecom .. 90
Tunisie Telecom . 94
Orascom Telecom .. 98
Tunisiana .. 101
Regional Overview . 104
Table: OSN Recent Content Developments 105
Demographic Forecast 109
Table: Algeria's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) . 110
Table: Algeria's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) . 111
Table: Algeria's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 . . 112
Table: Algeria's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 . 112
Glossary 113
Table: Glossary Of Terms . . 113
Methodology .. 115
Industry Forecast Methodology .. 115
Sources 116
Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology . 117
Table: Risk/Reward Ratings Indicators . 118
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 119

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