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United Arab Emirates Telecommunications Report Q3 2016

  • July 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 76 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Our outlook for the UAE telecommunications market remains positive. The market benefitsfrom having strong GDP per capita, high disposable incomes and a strong influx of migrants. Despitehaving a mature market and a very high penetration rate, we expect positive growth to continue throughoutour five-year forecast to 2020.The country's two network operators, Etisalat and du, compete aggressivelywith one another and are investing significantly in technological innovation, capital investments as well asthe development of new products and services. We believe that the high degree of competition in the countryhas led to significant advancement in technological uptake. We expect continued 4G and 4.5G/LTEAdvancedgrowth to be important market drivers in the latter years of our forecast, further propelled byprice cuts and advances in VAS and contents offered.

Latest Updates & Industry Developments

- In 2015, the UAE mobile market experienced a net increase of 1.02mn subscribers. This is based on datareported by Etisalat and du, as well as the Telecommunications Regulatory Authority (TRA). We expectthe UAE mobile market to maintain positive growth throughout our forecast period, through to 2020,due to strong competition between Etisalat and du, as well as the continued influx of migrantworkers and temporary visitors on the back of an improving economy, a stable political environmentand major events in the country, such as the Dubai 2020 World Trade Expo. Nevertheless, we cautionthat the market contains a significant number of inactive subscriptions and SIM cards that have not yetbeen discounted.

- By the end of 2020, we expect the number of mobile subscriptions to rise to 18.55mn. Growth acrossthe market as a whole will be driven by migration to 3G/4G services and by a trend towards the use ofmultiple SIM-connected devices. Although mobile average revenues per user (ARPUs) will continueto decline, we expect the pace of decline to become much more gradual as ARPUcontraction becomes offset by growing consumer appetite for mobile data services. We maintain apositive growth outlook for the broadband sector, based on the continued investment in nextgeneration networks by Etisalat and du. Although new investments in fibre-to-the-home (FTTH) willdrive up in fixed broadband services, we expect mobile broadband to be the main form of internetaccess. By 2020 there will be 3.64mn broadband accesses, up from 3.033mn at the end of 2015.

Table Of Contents

United Arab Emirates Telecommunications Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Latest Updates and Industry Developments 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Latest Updates 11
Structural Trends 12
Industry Risk/Reward Index 16
Middle East and North Africa Risk/Reward Index 16
Table: Mena Telecoms Risk/Reward Index, Q316 18
Industry Risk/Reward Index 19
Market Overview 21
Market Drivers and Trends 21
Mobile 22
Wireline Voice and Broadband 33
Regulatory Development 43
Table: Regulatory Bodies And Their Responsibilities 45
Table: Key Developments 48
Competitive Landscape 49
Table: Key Players 49
Table: UAE Mobile Market Overview 49
Table: Etisalat 50
Table: Du 50
Table: Fixed Line Subscribers 51
Table: Broadband Subscribers by Operator (000) 52
Company Profile 53
Emirates Telecommunications Corporation (Etisalat) 53
Emirates Integrated Telecommunication Company (du) 61
Demographic Forecast 65
Demographic Outlook 65
Table: Population Headline Indicators (United Arab Emirates 1990-2025) 66
Table: Key Population Ratios (United Arab Emirates 1990-2025) 66
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (United Arab Emirates 1990-2025) 67
Table: Population By Age Group (United Arab Emirates 1990-2025) 67
Table: Population By Age Group % (United Arab Emirates 1990-2025) 68
Glossary 70
Table: Glossary Of Terms 70
Methodology 72
Industry Forecast Methodology 72
Sources 74
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 74
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators 75
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 76

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