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Vietnam Agribusiness Report Q4 2016

  • September 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 90 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View:

Recent developments in Vietnam's economic and business environments add further weight toour positive view on its agribusiness sector. The industry holds strong growth opportunities in terms ofproduction, exports and retail sales, particularly with regard to the rice, coffee, livestock and dairysectors. Moreover, economic and financial integration in South East Asia will benefit Vietnam's exports ofrice, dairy and coffee. However, Vietnam faces growing competition in its key markets.The fulfilment of its promising potential will only be achieved if the country steps up its competitiveness andimproves product quality and supply chain efficiency. Vietnam will have to significantly ramp upinvestments on crop productivity in order to not be left behind and, if it does, it will be able to produce morevalue-added crops and maintain its status as an export spearhead.

Key Forecasts


- Pork production growth to 2019/20: 19.9% to 3.0mn tonnes. After going through challenging timesamidst high feed costs, disease outbreaks and weaker growth, the livestock sector has been on therecovery trend since 2014-2015. Growth will remain strong in the medium term, helped by higher localmeat prices and economic growth.

- Milk production growth to 2019/20: 61.9% to 876,000 tonnes. Dramatic increases in cattle numbersand increased public and private sector investment - part of the effort to reduce the country's growingimport dependency - will be the main boost to growth. Commercialisation will also play a key role aslarger, more efficient farms come to play a greater role in milk production.

Table Of Contents

Vietnam Agribusiness Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 10
Industry Forecast 12
Grains Outlook 12
Latest Updates 12
Table: Vietnam - Grains Production And Consumption Outlook 13
Table: Risks To Outlook 13
Structural Trends 13
Table: Corn Production and Consumption (Vietnam 2012-2020) 15
Rice Outlook 16
Latest Updates 16
Table: Vietnam - Rice Production And Consumption Outlook 17
Table: Risks To Outlook 17
Structural Trends 17
Table: Rice Production and Consumption (Vietnam 2012-2020) 20
Dairy Outlook 21
Latest Updates 21
Table: Vietnam - Dairy Production And Consumption Outlook 22
Table: Risks To Outlook 22
Structural Trends 23
Table: Vietnam - Planned Investment In Milk Production Capacity 24
Table: Dairy Production and Consumption (Vietnam 2013-2020) 28
Livestock Outlook 29
Latest Updates 29
Table: Vietnam - Livestock Production And Consumption Outlook 30
Table: Vietnam - Risks To Livestock Outlook 30
Structural Trends 30
Table: Livestock Production and Consumption (Vietnam 2013-2020) 35
Coffee Outlook 36
Latest Updates 36
Table: Vietnam - Coffee Production And Consumption Outlook 37
Table: Vietnam - Risks To Coffee Outlook 37
Structural Trends 38
Table: Coffee Production and Consumption (Vietnam 2012-2020) 42
Commodities Price Analysis 43
Commodities Forecasts 43
Table: Select Commodities - Performance and BMI Forecasts 43
Upstream Analysis 45
Asia GM Outlook 45
Table: Selected Countries - GM Crops Use (mn hectares) 50
Asia Machinery Outlook 51
Table: Select Countries - Average Size Of Farms, Hectares 56
Downstream Analysis 58
Food 58
Latest Updates 58
Structural Trends 59
Table: Food Sales (Vietnam 2013-2020) 61
Regional Overview 65
Company Profile 71
Vinamilk 71
Table: Vietnam - Planned Investment In Milk Production Capacity 78
Table: Vinamilk - MandA Activity Outside Vietnam 79
Table: Vinamilk - Financial Highlights, 2011-2015 82
Competitive Landscape 83
Table: Major Agribusiness Companies (USDmn) 83
Demographic Forecast 84
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Vietnam 1990-2025) 85
Table: Key Population Ratios (Vietnam 1990-2025) 85
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Vietnam 1990-2025) 86
Table: Population By Age Group (Vietnam 1990-2025) 86
Table: Population By Age Group % (Vietnam 1990-2025) 87
Methodology 89
Industry Forecast Methodology 89
Sector-Specific Methodology 90

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