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Ukraine Mining Report 2016

  • June 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 39 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Ukraine's mining sector will continues to feel the effects of ongoing hostilities between thegovernment and pro-Russian separatists. While a tentative ceasefire remains in place, Russia's annexationof the Crimea region has seen Ukraine cede access to key mining assets and shipping ports. The events haveled to severe depletion of the country's mineral production capacity over recent quarters, with the countryestimated to have experienced double-digit contractions in both coal and iron ore output in 2015. While weexpect this contraction to begin to level out over the coming months, the business environment remainsseverely dented, with much of the country's transport infrastructure having been damaged by fighting.

Recent Developments And Forecasts:

- In April 2016, Canadian miner Black Iron announced it was considering investments in other Europeanmining projects as it looked to offset potential risks to its Ukrainian iron ore operations.

- News in March 2016 that Australia had signed an agreement with Ukraine's government to supplyuranium to power Ukrainian nuclear power plants highlights the fact that uranium mining in the countryhas yet to progress since the onset of hostilities in the country in 2014. The development also suggests thefalling status of thermal coal in the country's energy mix.

- We forecast further stagnation in both Ukraine's iron ore and social sectors over the coming quarters. Weforecast iron ore production to contract by 9.5% y-o-y in 2016 to 61.3mn tonnes (mnt) while coalproduction will grow by 1.1% to 40.1mnt.

Table Of Contents

Ukraine Mining Report 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Ukraine: Mining Industry Value 7
Industry Forecast 10
Iron Ore: Little Improvement To Business Environment 10
Table: Iron Ore Production Forecast (Ukraine 2012-2020) 10
Table: New Iron Ore Projects 12
Coal: Fragile Recovery In Place 14
Table: Ukraine: Coal Production 2013-2020 (mnt) 14
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 18
Ukraine Risk/Reward Index 18
Rewards 18
Industry Rewards 18
Country Rewards 18
Risks 19
Industry Risks 19
Country Risks 19
Europe: Risk/Reward Index 20
Table: Europe - Mining Risk/Reward Index 21
Regulatory Development 22
Table: Ukraine - Political Overview 22
Commodities Forecast 24
Commodities Outlook 24
Table: BMI Commodities Price Forecasts 24
Competitive Landscape 25
Key Players 25
Company Profile 26
Ferrexpo Poltava Mining 26
Table: Ferrexpo - Key Financial Data 27
Regional Overview 29
Methodology 36
Industry Forecast Methodology 36
Sources 37
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 38
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 39

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