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Australia Commercial Banking Report Q3 2016

  • June 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 78 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI’s commercial banking forecast series covers 62 countries accounting for 80% of global GDP. Each report, researched at source, features BMI’s independent assessment and 5-year forecasts to end-2017 for the commercial banking sector in each market. Using its expertise in both country risk and financial markets analysis, BMI has created exclusive models to forecast a wealth of key variables on the commercial banking sector. Historic and forecast data are provided for the sector’s total asset and liability growth, client loans, and client deposits. Forecasts for key ratios including the loan-deposit ratio and the loan-asset ratio are also included, as well as core macro-economic forecasts. Data is presented in both local currency and US dollar terms.Each report examines key drivers of growth and future prospects, including the macroeconomic situation, the level of development and potential for growth of the banking sector, the commercial initiatives of major players, government policy and the regulatory environment.

Central to BMI’s analysis are our unique Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings. BMI’s unique country-comparative Risk-Reward Rating provides a clear, quantified, independent assessment of the opportunities and dangers of operating in each market. The methodology draws together our in-depth knowledge of competitive pressures, our comprehensive industry market forecasts, and our Country Risk team’s unrivalled analysis of economic, political and operational risks.The reports also feature profiles of leading banks, covering total assets, liabilities, client deposits, lending, bond holdings, main products and services, competitive positioning and ownership structure.

Table Of Contents

Australia Commercial Banking Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Indicators 7
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Key Ratios, March 2016 7
Table: Annual Growth Rate Projections 2015-2020 (%) 7
Table: Ranking Out Of 75 Countries Reviewed In 2016 8
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Indicators, 2013-2020 8
SWOT 9
Commercial Banking 9
Political 10
Economic 11
Operational Risk 12
Industry Forecast 14
Industry Trend Analysis 14
Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index 22
Asia Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index 22
Table: Asia Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index 23
Market Overview 24
Asia Commercial Banking Outlook 24
Table: Banks' Bond Portfolios, 2014 24
Table: Comparison Of Loan/Deposit and Loan/Asset and Loan/GDP Ratios, 2016 24
Table: Comparison Of Total Assets and Client Loans and Client Deposits (USDbn) 25
Table: Comparison Of USD Per Capita Deposits, 2016 26
Economic Analysis 27
Competitive Landscape 33
Market Structure 33
Protagonists 33
Table: Protagonists In Australia's Commercial Banking Sector 33
Definition Of The Commercial Banking Universe 33
List Of Banks 34
Table: Major Banks 34
Table: Other Domestic Banks 34
Company Profile 35
Australia and New Zealand Banking Group 35
Table: Stock Market Indicators 37
Table: Balance Sheet (AUDmn) 37
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 37
Table: Key Ratios (%) 38
Bendigo and Adelaide Bank 39
Table: Stock Market Indicators 41
Table: Balance Sheet (AUDmn) 41
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 42
Table: Key Ratios (%) 42
Commonwealth Bank of Australia 43
Table: Stock Market Indicators 45
Table: Balance Sheet (AUDmn) 45
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 46
Table: Key Ratios (%) 46
National Australia Bank 47
Table: Stock Market Indicators 50
Table: Balance Sheet (AUDmn) 50
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 51
Table: Key Ratios (%) 51
Westpac Banking Corporation 52
Table: Stock Market Indicators 54
Table: Balance Sheet (AUDmn) 55
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 55
Table: Key Ratios (%) 56
Global Industry Overview 57
Industry Forecast 57
The Reserves Penalty 57
Mixed Results So Far 60
Not Far Enough, Or Too Far Already? 65
In The End, Negative Rates Unlikely To Become Much More Prevalent 66
Table: Negative Interest Rates - Summary 68
Demographic Forecast 69
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Australia 1990-2025) 70
Table: Key Population Ratios (Australia 1990-2025) 70
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Australia 1990-2025) 71
Table: Population By Age Group (Australia 1990-2025) 71
Table: Population By Age Group % (Australia 1990-2025) 72
Methodology 74
Industry Forecast Methodology 74
Sector-Specific Methodology 75
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 76
Table: Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index Indicators 77
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 78

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