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Japan Commercial Banking Report Q3 2016

  • July 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 79 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI’s commercial banking forecast series covers 62 countries accounting for 80% of global GDP. Each report, researched at source, features BMI’s independent assessment and 5-year forecasts to end-2017 for the commercial banking sector in each market. Using its expertise in both country risk and financial markets analysis, BMI has created exclusive models to forecast a wealth of key variables on the commercial banking sector. Historic and forecast data are provided for the sector’s total asset and liability growth, client loans, and client deposits. Forecasts for key ratios including the loan-deposit ratio and the loan-asset ratio are also included, as well as core macro-economic forecasts. Data is presented in both local currency and US dollar terms.Each report examines key drivers of growth and future prospects, including the macroeconomic situation, the level of development and potential for growth of the banking sector, the commercial initiatives of major players, government policy and the regulatory environment. Central to BMI’s analysis are our unique Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings. BMI’s unique country-comparative Risk-Reward Rating provides a clear, quantified, independent assessment of the opportunities and dangers of operating in each market. The methodology draws together our in-depth knowledge of competitive pressures, our comprehensive industry market forecasts, and our Country Risk team’s unrivalled analysis of economic, political and operational risks.The reports also feature profiles of leading banks, covering total assets, liabilities, client deposits, lending, bond holdings, main products and services, competitive positioning and ownership structure.

Table Of Contents

Japan Commercial Banking Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Indicators 7
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Key Ratios, March 2016 7
Table: Annual Growth Rate Projections 2015-2020 (%) 7
Table: Ranking Out Of 75 Countries Reviewed In 2016 8
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Indicators, 2013-2020 8
SWOT 9
Commercial Banking 9
Political 10
Economic 11
Operational Risk 12
Industry Forecast 14
Industry Trend Analysis 14
Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index 18
Developed States Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index 18
Table: Developed States Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index 19
Market Overview 20
Developed States Commercial Banking Outlook 20
Table: Banks' Bond Portfolios, 2015 20
Table: Comparison of Loan/Deposit and Loan/Asset and Loan/GDP Ratios, 2016 20
Table: Comparison of Total Assets and Client Loans and Client Deposits (USDbn) 22
Table: Comparison of USD Per Capita Deposits, 2016 23
Economic Analysis 24
Competitive Landscape 29
Market Structure 29
Protagonists 29
Table: Protagonists In Japan's Commercial Banking Sector 29
Definition Of The Commercial Banking Universe 29
List Of Banks 30
Table: Full Japanese Bankers' Association Members 30
Table: Associate Japanese Bankers' Association Members 34
Company Profile 37
Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ 37
Table: Stock Market Indicators 40
Table: Balance Sheet (JPYmn) 40
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 41
Table: Key Ratios (%) 41
Mizuho Bank 42
Table: Stock Market Indicators 44
Table: Balance Sheet (JPYmn) 44
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 45
Table: Key Ratios (%) 45
Resona 46
Table: Stock Market Indicators 48
Table: Balance Sheet (JPYmn) 48
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 49
Table: Key Ratios (%) 49
Sumitomo Mitsui Banking Corporation 50
Table: Stock Market Indicators 53
Table: Balance Sheet (JPYmn) 53
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 53
Table: Key Ratios (%) 54
Regional Overview 55
Economic Analysis 55
Global Industry Overview 58
Industry Forecast 58
The Reserves Penalty 58
Mixed Results So Far 61
Not Far Enough, Or Too Far Already? 66
In The End, Negative Rates Unlikely To Become Much More Prevalent 67
Table: Negative Interest Rates - Summary 69
Demographic Forecast 70
Demographic Outlook 70
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Japan 1990-2025) 71
Table: Key Population Ratios (Japan 1990-2025) 71
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Japan 1990-2025) 72
Table: Population By Age Group (Japan 1990-2025) 72
Table: Population By Age Group % (Japan 1990-2025) 73
Methodology 75
Industry Forecast Methodology 75
Sector-Specific Methodology 76
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 77
Table: Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index Indicators 78
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 79

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