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  4. > Vietnam Commercial Banking Report Q3 2016

Vietnam Commercial Banking Report Q3 2016

  • June 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 77 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI’s commercial banking forecast series covers 62 countries accounting for 80% of global GDP. Each report, researched at source, features BMI’s independent assessment and 5-year forecasts to end-2017 for the commercial banking sector in each market. Using its expertise in both country risk and financial markets analysis, BMI has created exclusive models to forecast a wealth of key variables on the commercial banking sector. Historic and forecast data are provided for the sector’s total asset and liability growth, client loans, and client deposits. Forecasts for key ratios including the loan-deposit ratio and the loan-asset ratio are also included, as well as core macro-economic forecasts. Data is presented in both local currency and US dollar terms.

Each report examines key drivers of growth and future prospects, including the macroeconomic situation, the level of development and potential for growth of the banking sector, the commercial initiatives of major players, government policy and the regulatory environment. Central to BMI’s analysis are our unique Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings. BMI’s unique country-comparative Risk-Reward Rating provides a clear, quantified, independent assessment of the opportunities and dangers of operating in each market. The methodology draws together our in-depth knowledge of competitive pressures, our comprehensive industry market forecasts, and our Country Risk team’s unrivalled analysis of economic, political and operational risks.The reports also feature profiles of leading banks, covering total assets, liabilities, client deposits, lending, bond holdings, main products and services, competitive positioning and ownership structure.

Table Of Contents

Vietnam Commercial Banking Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Indicators 7
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Key Ratios, November 2015 7
Table: Annual Growth Rate Projections 2015-2020 (%) 7
Table: Ranking Out Of 75 Countries Reviewed In 2016 8
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Indicators, 2013-2020 8
SWOT 9
Commercial Banking 9
Political 10
Economic 11
Operational Risk 13
Industry Forecast 15
Industry Trend Analysis 15
Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index 19
Asia Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index 19
Table: Asia Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index 20
Market Overview 21
Economic Analysis 21
Asia Commercial Banking Outlook 24
Table: Banks' Bond Portfolios, 2014 24
Table: Comparison Of Loan/Deposit and Loan/Asset and Loan/GDP Ratios, 2016 25
Table: Comparison Of Total Assets and Client Loans and Client Deposits (USDbn) 26
Table: Comparison Of USD Per Capita Deposits, 2016 27
Competitive Landscape 28
Market Structure 28
Protagonists 28
Table: Protagonists In Vietnam's Commercial Banking Sector 28
Definition Of The Commercial Banking Universe 28
List Of Banks 29
Table: Financial Institutions In Vietnam 29
Company Profile 31
Agribank 31
Table: Balance Sheet (VNDmn) 33
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 33
Table: Key Ratios (%) 33
Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam (Vietcombank) 34
Table: Stock Market Indicator 36
Table: Balance Sheet (VNDmn) 37
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 37
Table: Key Ratios (%) 37
Eximbank 38
Table: Stock Market Indicators 40
Table: Balance Sheet (VNDmn) 40
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 41
Table: Key Ratios (%) 41
Sacombank 42
Table: Stock Market Indicators 44
Table: Balance Sheet (VNDmn) 44
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 44
Table: Key Ratios (%) 45
VietinBank 46
Table: Stock Market Indicators 48
Table: Balance Sheet (VNDmn) 48
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 49
Table: Key Ratios (%) 49
Regional Overview 50
Industry Trend Analysis 50
Global Industry Overview 56
Industry Forecast 56
The Reserves Penalty 56
Mixed Results So Far 59
Not Far Enough, Or Too Far Already? 64
In The End, Negative Rates Unlikely To Become Much More Prevalent 65
Table: Negative Interest Rates - Summary 67
Demographic Forecast 68
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Vietnam 1990-2025) 69
Table: Key Population Ratios (Vietnam 1990-2025) 69
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Vietnam 1990-2025) 70
Table: Population By Age Group (Vietnam 1990-2025) 70
Table: Population By Age Group % (Vietnam 1990-2025) 71
Methodology 73
Industry Forecast Methodology 73
Sector-Specific Methodology 74
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 75
Table: Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index Indicators 76
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 77

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