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  4. > Austria Commercial Banking Report Q3 2016

Austria Commercial Banking Report Q3 2016

  • May 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 76 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI’s commercial banking forecast series covers 62 countries accounting for 80% of global GDP. Each report, researched at source, features BMI’s independent assessment and 5-year forecasts to end-2017 for the commercial banking sector in each market. Using its expertise in both country risk and financial markets analysis, BMI has created exclusive models to forecast a wealth of key variables on the commercial banking sector. Historic and forecast data are provided for the sector’s total asset and liability growth, client loans, and client deposits. Forecasts for key ratios including the loan-deposit ratio and the loan-asset ratio are also included, as well as core macro-economic forecasts.

Data is presented in both local currency and US dollar terms.Each report examines key drivers of growth and future prospects, including the macroeconomic situation, the level of development and potential for growth of the banking sector, the commercial initiatives of major players, government policy and the regulatory environment. Central to BMI’s analysis are our unique Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings. BMI’s unique country-comparative Risk-Reward Rating provides a clear, quantified, independent assessment of the opportunities and dangers of operating in each market. The methodology draws together our in-depth knowledge of competitive pressures, our comprehensive industry market forecasts, and our Country Risk team’s unrivalled analysis of economic, political and operational risks.The reports also feature profiles of leading banks, covering total assets, liabilities, client deposits, lending, bond holdings, main products and services, competitive positioning and ownership structure.

Table Of Contents

Austria Commercial Banking Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Indicators 7
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Key Ratios, December 2015 7
Table: Annual Growth Rate Projections 2015-2020 (%) 7
Table: Ranking Out Of 75 Countries Reviewed In 2016 8
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Indicators, 2013-2020 8
SWOT 9
Commercial Banking 9
Political 10
Economic 11
Operational Risk 12
Industry Forecast 13
Table: Austria - Banking Sector Risk Snapshot 17
Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index 20
Developed States Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index 20
Table: Developed States Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index 21
Market Overview 22
Developed States Commercial Banking Outlook 22
Table: Banks' Bond Portfolios, 2014 22
Table: Comparison of Loan/Deposit and Loan/Asset and Loan/GDP Ratios, 2016 22
Table: Comparison of Total Assets and Client Loans and Client Deposits (USDbn) 23
Table: Comparison of USD Per Capita Deposits, 2016 24
Economic Analysis 25
Table: GDP Growth Forecasts (Austria 2013-2024) 26
Real GDP By Expenditure Outlook 26
Table: Private Consumption Forecasts (Austria 2013-2024) 28
Table: Government Consumption Forecasts (Austria 2013-2024) 29
Table: Fixed Investment Forecasts (Austria 2013-2024) 31
Table: Net Exports Forecasts (Austria 2013-2024) 33
Competitive Landscape 34
Market Structure 34
Protagonists 34
Table: Protagonists In Austria's Commercial Banking Sector 34
Definition Of The Commercial Banking Universe 34
List Of Banks 35
Table: Major Austrian Banks 35
Company Profile 37
Bank Austria 37
Table: Stock Market Indicators 39
Table: Balance Sheet (EURmn) 39
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 39
Table: Key Ratios (%) 40
BAWAG PSK 41
Table: Balance Sheet (EURmn) 43
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 43
Table: Key Ratios (%) 43
Erste Group 44
Table: Stock Market Indicators 46
Table: Balance Sheet (EURmn) 46
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 46
Table: Key Ratios (%) 47
Raiffeisen Zentralbank Österreich 48
Table: Stock Market Indicators 50
Table: Balance Sheet (EURmn) 50
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 50
Table: Key Ratios (%) 51
Regional Overview 52
Economic Analysis 52
Global Industry Overview 55
Industry Forecast 55
The Reserves Penalty 55
Mixed Results So Far 58
Not Far Enough, Or Too Far Already? 63
In The End, Negative Rates Unlikely To Become Much More Prevalent 64
Table: Negative Interest Rates - Summary 66
Demographic Forecast 67
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Austria 1990-2025) 68
Table: Key Population Ratios (Austria 1990-2025) 68
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Austria 1990-2025) 69
Table: Population By Age Group (Austria 1990-2025) 69
Table: Population By Age Group % (Austria 1990-2025) 70
Methodology 72
Industry Forecast Methodology 72
Sector-Specific Methodology 73
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 74
Table: Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index Indicators 75
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 76

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