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United Kingdom Commercial Banking Report Q3 2016

  • May 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 77 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI’s commercial banking forecast series covers 62 countries accounting for 80% of global GDP. Each report, researched at source, features BMI’s independent assessment and 5-year forecasts to end-2017 for the commercial banking sector in each market. Using its expertise in both country risk and financial markets analysis, BMI has created exclusive models to forecast a wealth of key variables on the commercial banking sector. Historic and forecast data are provided for the sector’s total asset and liability growth, client loans, and client deposits. Forecasts for key ratios including the loan-deposit ratio and the loan-asset ratio are also included, as well as core macro-economic forecasts.

Data is presented in both local currency and US dollar terms.Each report examines key drivers of growth and future prospects, including the macroeconomic situation, the level of development and potential for growth of the banking sector, the commercial initiatives of major players, government policy and the regulatory environment. Central to BMI’s analysis are our unique Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings. BMI’s unique country-comparative Risk-Reward Rating provides a clear, quantified, independent assessment of the opportunities and dangers of operating in each market. The methodology draws together our in-depth knowledge of competitive pressures, our comprehensive industry market forecasts, and our Country Risk team’s unrivalled analysis of economic, political and operational risks.The reports also feature profiles of leading banks, covering total assets, liabilities, client deposits, lending, bond holdings, main products and services, competitive positioning and ownership structure.

Table Of Contents

United Kingdom Commercial Banking Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Commercial Banking Indicators 7
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Key Ratios, February 2016 7
Table: Annual Growth Rate Projections 2015-2020 (%) 7
Table: Ranking Out Of 75 Countries Reviewed In 2016 8
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Indicators, 2013-2020 8
SWOT 9
Commercial Banking 9
Political 11
Economic 12
Operational Risk 13
Industry Forecast 14
Table: UK Banking Sector Risk Snapshot 19
Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index 21
Developed States Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index 21
Table: Developed States Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index 22
Market Overview 23
Developed States Commercial Banking Outlook 23
Table: Banks' Bond Portfolios, 2014 23
Table: Comparison of Loan/Deposit and Loan/Asset and Loan/GDP Ratios, 2016 23
Table: Comparison of Total Assets and Client Loans and Client Deposits (USDbn) 24
Table: Comparison of USD Per Capita Deposits, 2016 25
Economic Analysis 26
Table: UK - Economic Dashboard 29
Competitive Landscape 31
Market Structure 31
Protagonists 31
Table: Protagonists In The UK's Commercial Banking Sector 31
Definition Of The Commercial Banking Universe 32
List Of Banks 32
Table: BBA Member Banks 32
Company Profile 37
Barclays 37
Table: Stock Market Indicators 39
Table: Balance Sheet (GBPmn) 39
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 39
Table: Key Ratios (%) 40
HSBC 41
Table: Stock Market Indicators 43
Table: Balance Sheet (GBPmn) 44
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 44
Table: Key Ratios (%) 44
Lloyds Banking Group 45
Table: Stock Market Indicators 47
Table: Balance Sheet (GBPmn) 47
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 48
Table: Key Ratios (%) 48
Royal Bank of Scotland 49
Table: Stock Market Indicators 51
Table: Balance Sheet (GBPmn) 52
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 52
Table: Key Ratios (%) 52
Santander 53
Table: Stock Market Indicators 54
Table: Balance Sheet (GBPmn) 55
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 55
Table: Key Ratios (%) 55
Global Industry Overview 56
Industry Forecast 56
The Reserves Penalty 56
Mixed Results So Far 59
Not Far Enough, Or Too Far Already? 64
In The End, Negative Rates Unlikely To Become Much More Prevalent 65
Table: Negative Interest Rates - Summary 67
Demographic Forecast 68
Table: Population Headline Indicators (United Kingdom 1990-2025) 69
Table: Key Population Ratios (United Kingdom 1990-2025) 69
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (United Kingdom 1990-2025) 70
Table: Population By Age Group (United Kingdom 1990-2025) 70
Table: Population By Age Group % (United Kingdom 1990-2025) 71
Methodology 73
Industry Forecast Methodology 73
Sector-Specific Methodology 74
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 75
Table: Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index Indicators 76
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 77

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