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  5. > Bahrain Commercial Banking Report Q3 2016

Bahrain Commercial Banking Report Q3 2016

  • July 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 84 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI’s commercial banking forecast series covers 62 countries accounting for 80% of global GDP. Each report, researched at source, features BMI’s independent assessment and 5-year forecasts to end-2017 for the commercial banking sector in each market. Using its expertise in both country risk and financial markets analysis, BMI has created exclusive models to forecast a wealth of key variables on the commercial banking sector. Historic and forecast data are provided for the sector’s total asset and liability growth, client loans, and client deposits. Forecasts for key ratios including the loan-deposit ratio and the loan-asset ratio are also included, as well as core macro-economic forecasts. Data is presented in both local currency and US dollar terms.Each report examines key drivers of growth and future prospects, including the macroeconomic situation, the level of development and potential for growth of the banking sector, the commercial initiatives of major players, government policy and the regulatory environment. Central to BMI’s analysis are our unique Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings. BMI’s unique country-comparative Risk-Reward Rating provides a clear, quantified, independent assessment of the opportunities and dangers of operating in each market. The methodology draws together our in-depth knowledge of competitive pressures, our comprehensive industry market forecasts, and our Country Risk team’s unrivalled analysis of economic, political and operational risks.The reports also feature profiles of leading banks, covering total assets, liabilities, client deposits, lending, bond holdings, main products and services, competitive positioning and ownership structure.

Table Of Contents

Bahrain Commercial Banking Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Indicators 7
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Key Ratios, June 2015 7
Table: Annual Growth Rate Projections 2015-2020 (%) 7
Table: Ranking Out Of 75 Countries Reviewed In 2016 8
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Indicators, 2013-2020 8
SWOT 9
Commercial Banking 9
Political 11
Economic 13
Operational Risk 14
Industry Forecast 16
Table: Bahrain - Banking Sector Risk Snapshot 19
Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index 21
Middle East and Africa Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index 21
Table: Middle East and Africa Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index 22
Market Overview 23
Economic Analysis 23
Table: Bahrain - Main Infrastructure And Industrial Developments 28
Middle East and Africa Commercial Banking Outlook 28
Table: Banks' Bond Portfolios, 2014 28
Table: Comparison Of Loan/Deposit, Loan/Asset And Loan/GDP Ratios, 2016 30
Table: Comparison Of Total Assets, Client Loans And Client Deposits (USDbn) 31
Table: Comparison Of USD Per Capita Deposits, 2016 32
Competitive Landscape 33
Market Structure 33
Protagonists 33
Table: Protagonists In Bahrain's Commercial Banking Sector 33
Definition Of The Commercial Banking Universe 33
List Of Banks 34
Table: List Of Banks Operating In Bahrain 34
Company Profile 38
Ahli United Bank 38
Table: Stock Market Indicators 39
Table: Balance Sheet (BHDmn) 40
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 40
Table: Key Ratios (%) 40
Arab Banking Corporation 41
Table: Stock Market Indicators 43
Table: Table: Balance Sheet (BHDmn) 43
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 43
Table: Key Ratios (%) 44
BBK 45
Table: Stock Market Indicators 47
Table: Balance Sheet (BHDmn) 47
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 47
Table: Key Ratios (%) 48
Gulf International Bank 49
Table: Stock Market Indicators 50
Table: Balance Sheet (BHDmn) 51
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 51
Table: Key Ratios (%) 51
National Bank of Bahrain 52
Table: Stock Market Indicators 53
Table: Balance Sheet (BHDmn) 54
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 54
Table: Key Ratios (%) 54
Regional Overview 55
Middle East Overview 55
Iran Offers Opportunities 59
Islamic Banking 61
Recent Developments 62
Global Industry Overview 63
Industry Forecast 63
The Reserves Penalty 63
Mixed Results So Far 66
Not Far Enough, Or Too Far Already? 71
In The End, Negative Rates Unlikely To Become Much More Prevalent 72
Table: Negative Interest Rates - Summary 74
Demographic Forecast 75
Demographic Outlook 75
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Bahrain 1990-2025) 76
Table: Key Population Ratios (Bahrain 1990-2025) 76
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Bahrain 1990-2025) 77
Table: Population By Age Group (Bahrain 1990-2025) 77
Table: Population By Age Group % (Bahrain 1990-2025) 78
Methodology 80
Industry Forecast Methodology 80
Sector-Specific Methodology 81
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 82
Table: Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index Indicators 83
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 84

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