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  4. > Turkey Commercial Banking Report Q3 2016

Turkey Commercial Banking Report Q3 2016

  • July 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 80 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI’s commercial banking forecast series covers 62 countries accounting for 80% of global GDP. Each report, researched at source, features BMI’s independent assessment and 5-year forecasts to end-2017 for the commercial banking sector in each market. Using its expertise in both country risk and financial markets analysis, BMI has created exclusive models to forecast a wealth of key variables on the commercial banking sector. Historic and forecast data are provided for the sector’s total asset and liability growth, client loans, and client deposits. Forecasts for key ratios including the loan-deposit ratio and the loan-asset ratio are also included, as well as core macro-economic forecasts. Data is presented in both local currency and US dollar terms.Each report examines key drivers of growth and future prospects, including the macroeconomic situation, the level of development and potential for growth of the banking sector, the commercial initiatives of major players, government policy and the regulatory environment. Central to BMI’s analysis are our unique Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings. BMI’s unique country-comparative Risk-Reward Rating provides a clear, quantified, independent assessment of the opportunities and dangers of operating in each market. The methodology draws together our in-depth knowledge of competitive pressures, our comprehensive industry market forecasts, and our Country Risk team’s unrivalled analysis of economic, political and operational risks.The reports also feature profiles of leading banks, covering total assets, liabilities, client deposits, lending, bond holdings, main products and services, competitive positioning and ownership structure.

Table Of Contents

Turkey Commercial Banking Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Indicators 7
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Key Ratios, March 2016 7
Table: Annual Growth Rate Projections 2015-2020 (%) 7
Table: Ranking Out Of 75 Countries Reviewed In 2016 8
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Indicators, 2013-2020 8
SWOT 9
Commercial Banking 9
Political 11
Economic 13
Operational Risk 14
Industry Forecast 16
Table: Turkey - Banking Sector Risk Snapshot 21
Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index 25
Emerging Europe Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index 25
Table: Emerging Europe Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index 26
Market Overview 27
Emerging Europe Commercial Banking Outlook 27
Table: Banks' Bond Portfolios, 2014 27
Table: Comparison Of Loan/Deposit and Loan/Asset and Loan/GDP Ratios, 2016 28
Table: Comparison Of Total Assets and Client Loans and Client Deposits (USDbn) 29
Table: Comparison Of USD Per Capita Deposits, 2016 30
Economic Analysis 31
Competitive Landscape 38
Market Structure 38
Protagonists 38
Table: Protagonists In Turkey's Commercial Banking Sector 38
Definition Of The Commercial Banking Universe 38
List Of Banks 39
Table: Locally-owned Commercial Banks In Turkey 39
Table: Foreign Bank Branches 39
Company Profile 40
Akbank 40
Table: Stock Market Indicators 42
Table: Balance Sheet (TRYmn) 42
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 42
Table: Key Ratios (%) 43
Halkbank 44
Table: Stock Market Indicators 46
Table: Balance Sheet (TRYmn) 46
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 46
Table: Key Ratios (%) 47
Türkiye Garanti Bankas? 48
Table: Stock Market Indicators 49
Table: Balance Sheet (TRYmn) 49
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 50
Table: Key Ratios (%) 50
Türkiye Is Bankasi 51
Table: Stock Market Indicators 53
Table: Balance Sheet (TRYmn) 53
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 53
Table: Key Ratios (%) 54
Türkiye Vak?flar Bankas? 55
Table: Stock Market Indicators 57
Table: Balance Sheet (TRYmn) 57
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 57
Table: Key Ratio (%) 58
Global Industry Overview 59
Industry Forecast 59
The Reserves Penalty 59
Mixed Results So Far 62
Not Far Enough, Or Too Far Already? 67
In The End, Negative Rates Unlikely To Become Much More Prevalent 68
Table: Negative Interest Rates - Summary 70
Demographic Forecast 71
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Turkey 1990-2025) 72
Table: Key Population Ratios (Turkey 1990-2025) 72
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Turkey 1990-2025) 73
Table: Population By Age Group (Turkey 1990-2025) 73
Table: Population By Age Group % (Turkey 1990-2025) 74
Methodology 76
Industry Forecast Methodology 76
Sector-Specific Methodology 77
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 78
Table: Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index Indicators 79
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 80

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