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  4. > Canada Commercial Banking Report Q3 2016

Canada Commercial Banking Report Q3 2016

  • May 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 72 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI’s commercial banking forecast series covers 62 countries accounting for 80% of global GDP. Each report, researched at source, features BMI’s independent assessment and 5-year forecasts to end-2017 for the commercial banking sector in each market. Using its expertise in both country risk and financial markets analysis, BMI has created exclusive models to forecast a wealth of key variables on the commercial banking sector. Historic and forecast data are provided for the sector’s total asset and liability growth, client loans, and client deposits. Forecasts for key ratios including the loan-deposit ratio and the loan-asset ratio are also included, as well as core macro-economic forecasts.

Data is presented in both local currency and US dollar terms.Each report examines key drivers of growth and future prospects, including the macroeconomic situation, the level of development and potential for growth of the banking sector, the commercial initiatives of major players, government policy and the regulatory environment. Central to BMI’s analysis are our unique Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings. BMI’s unique country-comparative Risk-Reward Rating provides a clear, quantified, independent assessment of the opportunities and dangers of operating in each market. The methodology draws together our in-depth knowledge of competitive pressures, our comprehensive industry market forecasts, and our Country Risk team’s unrivalled analysis of economic, political and operational risks.The reports also feature profiles of leading banks, covering total assets, liabilities, client deposits, lending, bond holdings, main products and services, competitive positioning and ownership structure.

Table Of Contents

Canada Commercial Banking Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Indicators 7
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Key Ratios, December 2015 7
Table: Annual Growth Rate Projections 2015-2020 (%) 7
Table: Ranking Out Of 75 Countries Reviewed In 2016 8
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Indicators, 2013-2020 8
SWOT 9
Commercial Banking 9
Political 10
Economic 11
Industry Forecast 12
Table: Canada - Commercial Banking Sector Forecasts 16
Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index 19
Latin America Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index 19
Table: Latin America Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index 20
Market Overview 21
Economic Analysis 21
Table: Canada - GDP By Expenditure Growth Forecasts 25
Latin America Commercial Banking Outlook 26
Table: Banks' Bond Portfolios, 2014 26
Table: Comparison of Loan/Deposit and Loan/Asset and Loan/GDP ratios, 2016 26
Table: Comparison of Total Assets and Client Loans and Client Deposits (USDbn) 27
Table: Comparison of USD Per Capita Deposits, 2016 27
Competitive Landscape 28
Market Structure 28
Protagonists 28
Table: Protagonists In Canada's Commercial Banking Sector 28
Definition Of The Commercial Banking Universe 28
List Of Banks 29
Table: Domestic Banks 29
Table: Foreign Banks - Lending Branches 30
Company Profile 31
Bank of Montreal 31
Table: Stock Market Indicators 33
Table: Balance Sheet (CADmn) 34
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 34
Table: Key Ratios (%) 34
Bank of Nova Scotia 35
Table: Stock Market Indicators 37
Table: Balance Sheet (CADmn) 37
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 38
Table: Key Ratios (%) 38
Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce 39
Table: Stock Market Indicators 41
Table: Balance Sheet (CADmn) 41
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 41
Table: Key Ratios (%) 42
Royal Bank of Canada 43
Table: Stock Market Indicators 45
Table: Balance Sheet (CADmn) 46
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 46
Table: Key Ratios (%) 46
Toronto-Dominion Bank 47
Table: Stock Market Indicators 49
Table: Balance Sheet (CADmn) 49
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 49
Table: Key Ratios (%) 50
Global Industry Overview 51
Industry Forecast 51
The Reserves Penalty 51
Mixed Results So Far 54
Not Far Enough, Or Too Far Already? 59
In The End, Negative Rates Unlikely To Become Much More Prevalent 60
Table: Negative Interest Rates - Summary 62
Demographic Forecast 63
Demographic Outlook 63
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Canada 1990-2025) 64
Table: Key Population Ratios (Canada 1990-2025) 64
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Canada 1990-2025) 65
Table: Population By Age Group (Canada 1990-2025) 65
Table: Population By Age Group % (Canada 1990-2025) 66
Methodology 68
Industry Forecast Methodology 68
Sector-Specific Methodology 69
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 70
Table: Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index Indicators 71
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 72

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