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  5. > Philippines Agribusiness Report Q4 2016

Philippines Agribusiness Report Q4 2016

  • August 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 79 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View:
We hold a positive view on the Philippines' agribusiness sector in the long term, given thecountry's potential for expansion into new sectors, such as palm oil. We particularly like the outlook forsugar mills and believe the livestock sector will continue to show healthy growth rates. The Philippines' vastconsumption market along with some government support, will foster domestic and foreign investment andfavour output expansion. However, backyard farming and infrastructure problems, especially transportcosts, will continue to hamper the sector's growth. These inefficiencies will become increasingly cripplingas South East Asia moves towards the ASEAN Economic Community, which is supposed to lead to tradeand investment liberalisation in the region. Although the Philippines' government appears to have taken themeasure of the challenge and is now supporting rice and sugar production, agriculture in the countryremains uncompetitive. As such, the sector is at risk of low cost imports from its neighbours over themedium term.

Key Forecasts

- Sugar production growth to 2019/20: 21.0% to 2.8mn tonnes. Sugar production growth will be drivenby improvements in yields. The government approved the Sugarcane Industry Development Act, which isaiming at diversifying the sugar sector towards more value-added products and will provide financing tofarmers.

- Poultry production growth to 2019/20: 16.3% to 1.3mn tonnes. Poultry production will record steadybut unspectacular growth. Growth will be driven by investment, both domestic and foreign.

- Milk production growth to 2019/20: 23.4% to 25,100 tonnes. Milk and other dairy production willremain very low in the Philippines, although it will record strong growth due to low base effects. Thegovernment is committed to increase domestic supply of liquid milk, via National Dairy DevelopmentPlan.

Table Of Contents

Philippines Agribusiness Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Agribusiness 10
Industry Forecast 12
Grains Outlook 12
Latest Updates 12
Table: Philippines - Grains Production And Consumption Outlook 12
Table: Philippines - Risks To Grains Outlook 13
Structural Trends 13
Table: Grains Production and Consumption (Philippines 2013-2020) 16
Rice Outlook 17
Latest Updates 17
Table: Philippines - Rice Production And Consumption Outlook 17
Table: Philippines - Risks To Rice Outlook 18
Structural Trends 18
Table: Rice Production and Consumption (Philippines 2013-2020) 22
Sugar Outlook 23
Latest Updates 23
Table: Philippines - Sugar Production And Consumption Outlook 24
Table: Philippines - Risks To Sugar Outlook 24
Latest Updates 24
Table: Sugar Production and Consumption (Philippines 2013-2020) 29
Dairy Outlook 29
Latest Updates 29
Table: Philippines - Dairy Production And Consumption Outlook 30
Table: Philippines - Risks To Dairy Outlook 30
Structural Trends 30
Table: Milk Production and Consumption (Philippines 2012-2020) 33
Livestock Outlook 34
Latest Updates 34
Table: Philippines - Livestock Production And Consumption Outlook 35
Table: Philippines - Risks To Livestock Outlook 35
Structural Trends 36
Table: Poultry Production and Consumption (Philippines 2012-2020) 39
Commodities Price Analysis 40
Global - Global Commodities Strategy 40
Table: Select Commodities - Performance And BMI Forecasts 40
Upstream Analysis 42
Asia GM Outlook 42
Table: Selected Countries - GM Crops Use (mn hectares) 47
Asia Machinery Outlook 48
Table: Select Countries - Average Size Of Farms, Hectares 53
Asia Fertiliser Outlook 55
Downstream Analysis 61
Food 61
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data and Forecasts (Philippines 2012-2019) 62
Table: Confectionery Value/Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Philippines 2012-2019) 64
Table: Dairy Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Philippines 2014-2019) 65
Regional Overview 66
Competitive Landscape 72
Table: Major Agribusiness Companies 72
Demographic Forecast 73
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Philippines 1990-2025) 74
Table: Key Population Ratios (Philippines 1990-2025) 74
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Philippines 1990-2025) 75
Table: Population By Age Group (Philippines 1990-2025) 75
Table: Population By Age Group % (Philippines 1990-2025) 76
Methodology 78
Industry Forecast Methodology 78
Sector-Specific Methodology 79

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